Preseason Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#192
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.1#32
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#180
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#209
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 13.6
.500 or above 45.2% 49.5% 21.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.2% 36.6% 20.8%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 15.1% 13.2% 25.6%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round2.2% 2.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 48 - 313 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 318   Albany W 81-70 85%    
  Nov 13, 2023 232   Quinnipiac W 80-75 70%    
  Nov 17, 2023 219   Harvard W 73-68 66%    
  Nov 22, 2023 335   Central Connecticut St. W 78-65 87%    
  Dec 02, 2023 145   South Florida W 76-75 51%    
  Dec 06, 2023 158   @ Towson L 69-74 34%    
  Dec 09, 2023 179   Umass Lowell W 78-76 58%    
  Dec 16, 2023 63   West Virginia L 72-82 20%    
  Dec 21, 2023 98   Georgia Tech L 71-77 31%    
  Dec 30, 2023 266   Siena W 77-69 74%    
  Jan 03, 2024 94   Duquesne L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 07, 2024 72   @ Dayton L 62-74 17%    
  Jan 10, 2024 199   La Salle W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 13, 2024 190   @ Rhode Island L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 17, 2024 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 20, 2024 238   George Washington W 82-76 69%    
  Jan 23, 2024 136   Saint Joseph's L 77-78 50%    
  Jan 27, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 74-82 25%    
  Feb 03, 2024 139   George Mason W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 07, 2024 78   @ St. Bonaventure L 66-77 18%    
  Feb 11, 2024 190   Rhode Island W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 14, 2024 129   @ Richmond L 68-75 30%    
  Feb 17, 2024 199   @ La Salle L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 20, 2024 82   Virginia Commonwealth L 71-76 35%    
  Feb 24, 2024 78   St. Bonaventure L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 27, 2024 238   @ George Washington L 79-80 49%    
  Mar 02, 2024 149   @ Davidson L 69-74 33%    
  Mar 06, 2024 162   Fordham W 75-74 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.1 0.9 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.5 1.8 0.1 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 3.0 0.4 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 4.2 1.2 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 4.6 2.3 0.1 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.6 0.5 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.9 1.1 0.0 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.9 2.0 0.2 9.9 14th
15th 0.5 1.7 2.8 2.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 9.2 15th
Total 0.5 1.7 3.6 6.3 8.5 10.3 11.3 12.1 11.5 9.7 8.2 6.2 4.4 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-3 71.1% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 41.2% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 26.5% 2.9% 23.5% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.2%
17-1 0.1% 69.9% 30.9% 39.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.5%
16-2 0.3% 44.6% 23.2% 21.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 27.8%
15-3 0.8% 22.2% 14.5% 7.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 9.0%
14-4 1.6% 13.7% 11.8% 1.9% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 2.2%
13-5 2.8% 8.3% 7.4% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 1.0%
12-6 4.4% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.0%
11-7 6.2% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.0%
10-8 8.2% 2.8% 2.8% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.0
9-9 9.7% 2.2% 2.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.5
8-10 11.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.3
7-11 12.1% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.0
6-12 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.2
5-13 10.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-14 8.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3
2-16 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6
1-17 1.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.3% 2.1% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 97.7 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%