Preseason Rankings
Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#129
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.2#280
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#115
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 7.1% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.6 11.6 13.1
.500 or above 64.7% 66.1% 32.2%
.500 or above in Conference 56.6% 57.6% 34.1%
Conference Champion 6.5% 6.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 5.4% 14.1%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 0.6%
First Round6.4% 6.5% 2.7%
Second Round1.7% 1.8% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: VMI (Home) - 95.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 57 - 12
Quad 49 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 351   VMI W 78-60 96%    
  Nov 11, 2023 266   Siena W 72-61 85%    
  Nov 15, 2023 103   @ Boston College L 64-69 34%    
  Nov 20, 2023 33   Colorado L 65-74 20%    
  Nov 25, 2023 224   Queens W 77-68 77%    
  Nov 29, 2023 95   @ Wichita St. L 63-69 31%    
  Dec 02, 2023 302   William & Mary W 72-59 87%    
  Dec 06, 2023 123   @ Northern Iowa L 67-70 39%    
  Dec 09, 2023 36   Florida L 65-74 22%    
  Dec 16, 2023 156   Charlotte W 63-58 65%    
  Dec 21, 2023 216   Buffalo W 78-70 76%    
  Dec 30, 2023 293   Lafayette W 68-56 85%    
  Jan 06, 2024 78   St. Bonaventure L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 09, 2024 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-69 32%    
  Jan 13, 2024 139   George Mason W 68-64 62%    
  Jan 16, 2024 94   @ Duquesne L 67-73 32%    
  Jan 20, 2024 149   @ Davidson L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 24, 2024 238   George Washington W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 27, 2024 72   Dayton L 61-63 43%    
  Jan 31, 2024 162   @ Fordham L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 03, 2024 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 10, 2024 199   La Salle W 72-65 71%    
  Feb 14, 2024 192   Massachusetts W 75-68 70%    
  Feb 17, 2024 238   @ George Washington W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 21, 2024 190   @ Rhode Island W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 24, 2024 149   Davidson W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 28, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis L 69-74 34%    
  Mar 02, 2024 82   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-67 47%    
  Mar 06, 2024 136   Saint Joseph's W 72-69 61%    
  Mar 09, 2024 139   @ George Mason L 65-67 42%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.6 2.1 0.8 0.1 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.4 2.9 0.7 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.3 3.1 3.8 0.8 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.3 1.5 0.1 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.1 2.4 0.2 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.4 3.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.3 1.3 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.5 2.1 0.1 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.9 1.0 0.1 6.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 1.1 0.1 5.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.0 15th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.1 6.1 8.0 9.7 11.3 11.2 11.2 10.2 8.2 6.5 4.5 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
16-2 92.9% 1.3    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 67.4% 1.8    1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.3% 1.8    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 11.7% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 94.4% 42.9% 51.5% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.2%
17-1 0.6% 82.4% 34.3% 48.2% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 73.3%
16-2 1.4% 57.6% 23.3% 34.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 44.7%
15-3 2.7% 39.0% 21.8% 17.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 21.9%
14-4 4.5% 18.5% 13.0% 5.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.7 6.3%
13-5 6.5% 14.7% 13.0% 1.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 5.6 2.0%
12-6 8.2% 8.9% 8.6% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.4 0.3%
11-7 10.2% 6.2% 6.2% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.6
10-8 11.2% 4.0% 4.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.7
9-9 11.2% 2.8% 2.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 10.9
8-10 11.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.0
7-11 9.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.6
6-12 8.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.9
5-13 6.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.0
4-14 4.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.9% 5.2% 1.7% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.5 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 93.1 1.7%