Preseason Rankings
Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#103
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.5#216
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#97
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.4% 1.6% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.6% 10.6% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.9% 8.8% 1.8%
Average Seed 9.2 9.1 10.6
.500 or above 50.4% 54.0% 24.9%
.500 or above in Conference 29.9% 32.0% 15.6%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 14.9% 13.2% 26.7%
First Four2.4% 2.6% 1.0%
First Round8.4% 9.3% 2.4%
Second Round3.7% 4.1% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 87.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 23 - 54 - 12
Quad 34 - 39 - 15
Quad 46 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 257   Fairfield W 72-60 88%    
  Nov 10, 2023 320   @ The Citadel W 75-65 82%    
  Nov 15, 2023 129   Richmond W 69-64 67%    
  Nov 18, 2023 219   Harvard W 71-61 81%    
  Nov 22, 2023 71   Colorado St. L 69-72 38%    
  Nov 29, 2023 87   @ Vanderbilt L 67-72 34%    
  Dec 02, 2023 61   North Carolina St. L 72-74 44%    
  Dec 05, 2023 335   Central Connecticut St. W 75-57 94%    
  Dec 08, 2023 327   Holy Cross W 79-62 93%    
  Dec 10, 2023 44   St. John's L 74-80 30%    
  Dec 21, 2023 274   Lehigh W 78-65 87%    
  Jan 02, 2024 64   Wake Forest L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 06, 2024 98   @ Georgia Tech L 67-71 38%    
  Jan 10, 2024 75   @ Syracuse L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 13, 2024 45   @ Clemson L 66-75 23%    
  Jan 15, 2024 133   Notre Dame W 70-65 66%    
  Jan 20, 2024 16   North Carolina L 69-76 29%    
  Jan 23, 2024 57   @ Virginia Tech L 66-74 25%    
  Jan 27, 2024 133   @ Notre Dame L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 30, 2024 75   Syracuse W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 06, 2024 85   Florida St. W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 10, 2024 3   @ Duke L 60-76 9%    
  Feb 13, 2024 124   Louisville W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 17, 2024 30   Miami (FL) L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 20, 2024 85   @ Florida St. L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 24, 2024 61   @ North Carolina St. L 69-77 26%    
  Feb 28, 2024 34   Virginia L 59-63 37%    
  Mar 02, 2024 69   Pittsburgh L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 06, 2024 30   @ Miami (FL) L 68-79 19%    
  Mar 09, 2024 124   @ Louisville L 69-70 45%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 2.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.0 2.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.1 1.6 0.1 0.0 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.2 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 10.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.9 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 10.5 14th
15th 0.4 1.5 2.6 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.3 15th
Total 0.4 1.6 3.2 5.5 7.8 9.7 10.5 10.7 10.8 9.7 8.7 7.0 5.2 3.7 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 85.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 67.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 34.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 12.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 40.3% 59.7% 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 23.0% 77.0% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 98.3% 8.3% 90.0% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
16-4 0.8% 97.1% 8.8% 88.4% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.9%
15-5 1.5% 89.6% 9.6% 80.0% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 88.5%
14-6 2.5% 72.4% 6.7% 65.6% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 70.4%
13-7 3.7% 50.5% 6.1% 44.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.8 47.3%
12-8 5.2% 28.8% 4.5% 24.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 25.4%
11-9 7.0% 11.6% 3.0% 8.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 8.9%
10-10 8.7% 4.9% 2.0% 2.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3 3.0%
9-11 9.7% 2.2% 1.9% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 0.2%
8-12 10.8% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.0%
7-13 10.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.6
6-14 10.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.5
5-15 9.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.7
4-16 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.8
3-17 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.5
2-18 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
1-19 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 9.6% 1.9% 7.8% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 90.4 7.9%