IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.2	#133
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.3	#302
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.9	#121

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#162

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.1%	5.8%	1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	3.9%	4.5%	0.8%
Average Seed	9.8	9.7	11.3

.500 or above	27.7%	31.0%	10.8%
.500 or above in Conference	14.2%	15.7%	6.6%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	29.2%	26.6%	42.1%

First Four	1.4%	1.6%	0.5%
First Round	4.5%	5.1%	1.3%
Second Round	1.8%	2.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 83.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 5	0 - 5
Quad 1b	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 2	2 - 5	3 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 3	7 - 17
Quad 4	6 - 1	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	258	Niagara	W	68-58	83%
Nov 11, 2023	205	Western Carolina	W	74-67	75%
Nov 16, 2023	23	Auburn	L	64-75	16%
Nov 22, 2023	342	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-58	93%
Nov 28, 2023	89	@ South Carolina	L	63-69	28%
Dec 02, 2023	30	@ Miami (FL)	L	66-79	13%
Dec 05, 2023	319	Western Michigan	W	75-61	89%
Dec 09, 2023	9	@ Marquette	L	64-80	8%
Dec 16, 2023	106	Georgetown	W	73-72	54%
Dec 19, 2023	320	The Citadel	W	76-62	89%
Dec 22, 2023	272	Marist	W	71-60	83%
Dec 30, 2023	34	Virginia	L	58-64	30%
Jan 03, 2024	61	North Carolina St.	L	70-74	38%
Jan 06, 2024	3	Duke	L	61-73	15%
Jan 09, 2024	98	@ Georgia Tech	L	66-71	33%
Jan 13, 2024	85	Florida St.	L	71-72	47%
Jan 15, 2024	103	@ Boston College	L	65-70	34%
Jan 24, 2024	30	Miami (FL)	L	69-76	28%
Jan 27, 2024	103	Boston College	W	68-67	53%
Jan 31, 2024	34	@ Virginia	L	55-67	15%
Feb 03, 2024	69	@ Pittsburgh	L	65-74	24%
Feb 07, 2024	3	@ Duke	L	58-76	7%
Feb 10, 2024	57	Virginia Tech	L	67-71	37%
Feb 14, 2024	98	Georgia Tech	W	69-68	52%
Feb 21, 2024	124	@ Louisville	L	67-70	39%
Feb 24, 2024	75	@ Syracuse	L	66-74	26%
Feb 27, 2024	64	Wake Forest	L	71-74	40%
Mar 02, 2024	45	Clemson	L	68-73	34%
Mar 05, 2024	16	@ North Carolina	L	64-79	11%
Mar 09, 2024	57	@ Virginia Tech	L	64-74	21%
Projected Record						12 - 18	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.3	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.7	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0						1.2	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0							1.6	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	0.9	1.0	0.3	0.0								2.4	5th
6th									0.0	0.1	0.9	1.3	0.5	0.1									2.9	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.0									3.5	7th
8th								0.0	0.7	2.2	1.7	0.3	0.0										4.9	8th
9th							0.0	0.5	2.4	2.4	0.7	0.0											6.0	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	2.4	3.5	1.1	0.1												7.5	10th
11th					0.0	0.4	2.5	4.2	2.0	0.2	0.0												9.2	11th
12th			0.0	0.0	0.5	2.6	4.4	2.8	0.4	0.0													10.7	12th
13th			0.0	0.7	3.1	5.2	3.4	0.7	0.0														13.1	13th
14th		0.2	1.6	4.3	5.5	3.4	0.8	0.1															15.9	14th
15th	1.7	4.3	6.0	5.0	2.6	0.6	0.0	0.0															20.2	15th

Total	1.7	4.5	7.6	10.0	11.6	12.2	11.6	10.6	9.1	6.8	5.1	3.6	2.4	1.6	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2	98.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	76.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
16-4	43.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	18.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	3.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.3%	0.0					0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2	0.0%		100.0%	15.1%	84.9%	3.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
17-3	0.1%		100.0%	6.7%	93.3%	4.3			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
16-4	0.2%		98.1%	11.1%	87.0%	5.9			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		97.8%
15-5	0.5%		90.1%	10.2%	79.9%	6.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		88.9%
14-6	0.9%		81.2%	7.6%	73.7%	8.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.2		79.7%
13-7	1.6%		63.2%	5.4%	57.8%	9.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0					0.6		61.1%
12-8	2.4%		36.9%	5.3%	31.5%	10.0							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0					1.5		33.3%
11-9	3.6%		20.5%	4.3%	16.2%	10.4									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1					2.8		17.0%
10-10	5.1%		7.5%	2.2%	5.3%	11.0										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			4.7		5.4%
9-11	6.8%		2.7%	2.0%	0.7%	12.5										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.6		0.7%
8-12	9.1%		1.4%	1.4%	0.0%	14.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.0		0.0%
7-13	10.6%		1.2%	1.2%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	10.4
6-14	11.6%		0.9%	0.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.5
5-15	12.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	12.2
4-16	11.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.6
3-17	10.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
2-18	7.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.6
1-19	4.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
0-20	1.7%																							1.7

Total	100%		5.1%	1.3%	3.8%	9.8		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	94.9		3.9%