Preseason Rankings
South Carolina
Southeastern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.7#89
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.5#322
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#106
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#83
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 1.6% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 3.5% 3.7% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.5% 15.4% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.9% 13.7% 3.3%
Average Seed 8.4 8.3 9.9
.500 or above 51.9% 54.5% 22.7%
.500 or above in Conference 20.2% 21.3% 8.0%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 23.9% 41.7%
First Four2.7% 2.8% 1.3%
First Round13.1% 14.0% 3.8%
Second Round6.6% 7.0% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen2.5% 2.6% 0.5%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 91.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 23 - 45 - 13
Quad 33 - 28 - 15
Quad 47 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 273   South Carolina Upstate W 75-60 92%    
  Nov 10, 2023 57   Virginia Tech L 66-69 38%    
  Nov 13, 2023 351   VMI W 78-57 98%    
  Nov 17, 2023 109   DePaul W 71-69 57%    
  Nov 28, 2023 133   Notre Dame W 69-63 72%    
  Dec 01, 2023 238   George Washington W 78-65 87%    
  Dec 06, 2023 45   @ Clemson L 65-72 26%    
  Dec 09, 2023 146   @ East Carolina W 68-67 54%    
  Dec 16, 2023 328   Charleston Southern W 76-58 94%    
  Dec 19, 2023 189   Winthrop W 75-65 79%    
  Dec 22, 2023 309   Elon W 74-57 92%    
  Dec 30, 2023 343   Florida A&M W 73-53 96%    
  Jan 06, 2024 37   Mississippi St. L 60-63 41%    
  Jan 09, 2024 12   @ Alabama L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 13, 2024 52   @ Missouri L 68-75 28%    
  Jan 16, 2024 73   Georgia W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 20, 2024 17   @ Arkansas L 64-75 18%    
  Jan 23, 2024 13   Kentucky L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 27, 2024 52   Missouri L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 30, 2024 7   @ Tennessee L 56-70 13%    
  Feb 03, 2024 73   @ Georgia L 65-70 35%    
  Feb 06, 2024 60   Mississippi L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 10, 2024 87   Vanderbilt W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 14, 2024 23   @ Auburn L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 17, 2024 56   LSU L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 24, 2024 60   @ Mississippi L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 28, 2024 22   @ Texas A&M L 61-71 20%    
  Mar 02, 2024 36   Florida L 67-70 41%    
  Mar 06, 2024 7   Tennessee L 59-67 27%    
  Mar 09, 2024 37   @ Mississippi St. L 57-66 24%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.8 0.9 0.1 5.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.7 1.7 0.1 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.6 4.8 1.6 0.1 10.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 5.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.5 12th
13th 0.2 1.9 4.7 5.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 15.1 13th
14th 1.3 3.7 5.2 4.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 16.8 14th
Total 1.3 3.9 7.2 10.0 11.6 12.6 12.5 11.4 9.3 7.2 5.2 3.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 68.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 34.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 12.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 11.6% 88.4% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 13.7% 86.3% 2.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 99.3% 8.7% 90.6% 3.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
13-5 1.3% 97.2% 8.3% 88.9% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.9%
12-6 2.0% 93.9% 9.3% 84.7% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.3%
11-7 3.6% 80.4% 4.6% 75.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.7 79.5%
10-8 5.2% 58.8% 4.1% 54.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.2 57.0%
9-9 7.2% 34.9% 3.1% 31.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.7 32.8%
8-10 9.3% 12.0% 2.5% 9.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 9.7%
7-11 11.4% 3.6% 2.0% 1.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 1.6%
6-12 12.5% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3 0.1%
5-13 12.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.5
4-14 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.5
3-15 10.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 10.0
2-16 7.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 7.1
1-17 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.9
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 14.5% 1.9% 12.6% 8.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 85.5 12.9%