Preseason Rankings
Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#343
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.6#295
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#356
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#266
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 12.9% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 9.8% 48.4% 9.7%
.500 or above in Conference 38.9% 73.9% 38.8%
Conference Champion 3.2% 19.2% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 4.5% 11.9%
First Four1.3% 4.2% 1.3%
First Round1.3% 11.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 48 - 108 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 8   @ Creighton L 51-82 0.2%   
  Nov 09, 2023 67   @ Nebraska L 54-77 2%    
  Nov 14, 2023 36   @ Florida L 54-80 1%    
  Nov 20, 2023 35   Oregon L 55-75 4%    
  Nov 29, 2023 322   @ Presbyterian L 59-65 31%    
  Dec 06, 2023 322   @ Presbyterian L 59-65 31%    
  Dec 16, 2023 42   Iowa L 61-83 3%    
  Dec 17, 2023 40   @ Iowa St. L 47-73 1%    
  Dec 21, 2023 81   @ Central Florida L 52-73 4%    
  Dec 30, 2023 89   @ South Carolina L 53-73 4%    
  Jan 06, 2024 349   @ Bethune-Cookman L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 13, 2024 321   Southern W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 15, 2024 253   Grambling St. L 60-64 38%    
  Jan 20, 2024 346   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 22, 2024 361   @ Mississippi Valley W 65-62 61%    
  Jan 27, 2024 281   Alcorn St. L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 29, 2024 245   Jackson St. L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 03, 2024 338   @ Alabama A&M L 63-67 38%    
  Feb 05, 2024 353   @ Alabama St. L 63-65 44%    
  Feb 10, 2024 222   Texas Southern L 64-70 32%    
  Feb 12, 2024 326   Prairie View W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 17, 2024 245   @ Jackson St. L 61-71 20%    
  Feb 19, 2024 281   @ Alcorn St. L 62-70 26%    
  Feb 24, 2024 353   Alabama St. W 66-62 64%    
  Feb 26, 2024 338   Alabama A&M W 66-64 58%    
  Mar 02, 2024 253   @ Grambling St. L 57-67 21%    
  Mar 04, 2024 321   @ Southern L 64-70 32%    
  Mar 09, 2024 349   Bethune-Cookman W 69-65 62%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.0 1.6 0.1 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 4.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.9 3.2 0.6 0.0 11.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 11.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.8 2.3 0.6 0.0 10.6 11th
12th 0.4 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 7.2 12th
Total 0.4 1.5 3.2 5.2 7.7 9.5 10.8 11.5 11.3 10.1 8.8 6.9 5.0 3.8 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 99.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 92.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 66.1% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 42.0% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 50.0% 50.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 42.0% 42.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 37.7% 37.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.2% 18.3% 18.3% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
14-4 2.3% 16.3% 16.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.9
13-5 3.8% 9.3% 9.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.4
12-6 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.8
11-7 6.9% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 6.7
10-8 8.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 8.6
9-9 10.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.0
8-10 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.3
7-11 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 10.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.8
5-13 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.5
4-14 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-15 5.2% 5.2
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%