Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#322
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.7#315
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#337
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 4.2% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 17.8% 46.4% 16.4%
.500 or above in Conference 20.9% 41.0% 19.9%
Conference Champion 1.8% 4.8% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 33.3% 16.8% 34.2%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round1.2% 3.8% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 49 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 87   @ Vanderbilt L 58-76 5%    
  Nov 13, 2023 320   The Citadel W 68-65 60%    
  Nov 16, 2023 280   @ North Florida L 67-73 31%    
  Nov 17, 2023 264   Maine L 63-66 38%    
  Nov 18, 2023 337   Northwestern St. W 67-65 57%    
  Nov 22, 2023 289   Tennessee Tech W 67-66 53%    
  Nov 27, 2023 309   @ Elon L 63-67 37%    
  Nov 29, 2023 343   Florida A&M W 65-59 69%    
  Dec 02, 2023 351   @ VMI W 67-66 52%    
  Dec 06, 2023 343   Florida A&M W 65-59 69%    
  Dec 16, 2023 204   Kennesaw St. L 65-69 36%    
  Dec 19, 2023 104   @ Furman L 61-77 8%    
  Dec 21, 2023 64   @ Wake Forest L 60-80 4%    
  Jan 03, 2024 328   @ Charleston Southern L 65-67 41%    
  Jan 06, 2024 170   UNC Asheville L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 10, 2024 189   Winthrop L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 13, 2024 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 58-69 18%    
  Jan 17, 2024 278   High Point W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 20, 2024 213   @ Longwood L 59-69 21%    
  Jan 27, 2024 182   @ Radford L 58-69 17%    
  Jan 31, 2024 273   South Carolina Upstate W 67-66 50%    
  Feb 03, 2024 278   @ High Point L 69-75 32%    
  Feb 07, 2024 195   Gardner-Webb L 61-66 35%    
  Feb 10, 2024 182   Radford L 61-66 33%    
  Feb 14, 2024 170   @ UNC Asheville L 61-73 16%    
  Feb 17, 2024 213   Longwood L 62-66 38%    
  Feb 21, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 63-74 18%    
  Feb 28, 2024 273   @ South Carolina Upstate L 64-70 31%    
  Mar 02, 2024 328   Charleston Southern W 68-64 61%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.4 0.6 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 5.4 4.7 0.9 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.4 5.0 1.1 0.0 16.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 5.7 7.6 4.4 0.9 0.0 20.7 8th
9th 2.0 5.4 7.5 5.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 23.8 9th
Total 2.0 5.6 9.5 12.2 13.7 13.2 12.4 10.6 7.9 5.3 3.6 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 98.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 79.9% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
12-4 47.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
11-5 19.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 34.7% 34.7% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 47.2% 47.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 35.4% 35.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.6% 17.5% 17.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.1% 13.6% 13.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
11-5 2.1% 9.7% 9.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.9
10-6 3.6% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.4
9-7 5.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.1
8-8 7.9% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7.7
7-9 10.6% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.4
6-10 12.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.4
5-11 13.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.1
4-12 13.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.7
3-13 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.2
2-14 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.5
1-15 5.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.6
0-16 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%