Preseason Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#189
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.3#196
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#107
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.2% 28.8% 17.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.2 14.2
.500 or above 67.8% 88.3% 65.7%
.500 or above in Conference 77.5% 88.9% 76.3%
Conference Champion 22.6% 35.1% 21.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.1% 3.5%
First Four1.8% 1.0% 1.9%
First Round17.4% 28.3% 16.2%
Second Round1.9% 4.8% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 43 - 9
Quad 412 - 415 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 45   @ Clemson L 67-81 9%    
  Nov 11, 2023 125   Drexel L 67-68 49%    
  Nov 17, 2023 327   Holy Cross W 80-68 86%    
  Nov 18, 2023 347   IUPUI W 79-65 91%    
  Nov 19, 2023 309   Elon W 76-66 82%    
  Nov 24, 2023 73   @ Georgia L 68-79 16%    
  Dec 02, 2023 270   @ Coastal Carolina W 76-74 57%    
  Dec 05, 2023 224   Queens W 80-75 68%    
  Dec 10, 2023 275   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 81-79 58%    
  Dec 16, 2023 43   @ Xavier L 71-85 11%    
  Dec 19, 2023 89   @ South Carolina L 65-75 21%    
  Dec 22, 2023 85   @ Florida St. L 71-81 20%    
  Jan 03, 2024 213   Longwood W 73-68 65%    
  Jan 06, 2024 273   @ South Carolina Upstate W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 10, 2024 322   @ Presbyterian W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 13, 2024 182   Radford W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 17, 2024 170   UNC Asheville W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 20, 2024 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 68-71 41%    
  Jan 24, 2024 328   @ Charleston Southern W 76-70 68%    
  Jan 27, 2024 278   High Point W 83-75 76%    
  Feb 03, 2024 170   @ UNC Asheville L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 07, 2024 328   Charleston Southern W 79-67 83%    
  Feb 10, 2024 213   @ Longwood L 70-71 45%    
  Feb 14, 2024 182   @ Radford L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 21, 2024 322   Presbyterian W 74-63 82%    
  Feb 24, 2024 273   South Carolina Upstate W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 28, 2024 278   @ High Point W 80-78 58%    
  Mar 02, 2024 195   Gardner-Webb W 71-68 61%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.0 6.5 5.3 2.8 0.9 22.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.5 5.7 2.1 0.3 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.8 6.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.8 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.4 1.2 0.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.0 2.5 0.8 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.4 3.9 6.2 8.1 10.5 12.3 12.9 12.5 11.5 8.6 5.6 2.8 0.9 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
15-1 100.0% 2.8    2.7 0.1
14-2 94.8% 5.3    4.5 0.8 0.0
13-3 74.9% 6.5    4.3 2.0 0.2
12-4 44.0% 5.0    2.1 2.3 0.6 0.0
11-5 15.9% 2.0    0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 22.6% 22.6 15.0 6.0 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.9% 73.6% 71.3% 2.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.1%
15-1 2.8% 60.2% 59.7% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 1.3%
14-2 5.6% 47.7% 47.6% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.9 0.2%
13-3 8.6% 37.9% 37.9% 13.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 5.4
12-4 11.5% 26.9% 26.9% 14.2 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.2 8.4
11-5 12.5% 20.4% 20.4% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.4 9.9
10-6 12.9% 14.9% 14.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 11.0
9-7 12.3% 10.2% 10.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 11.0
8-8 10.5% 6.3% 6.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.9
7-9 8.1% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.8
6-10 6.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.1
5-11 3.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-12 2.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-14 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.2% 18.1% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.6 4.5 4.4 3.2 81.8 0.0%