IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.3	#195
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.0	#232
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.5	#123

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.3%	28.8%	15.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.6%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.1	13.1	14.2

.500 or above	50.9%	79.9%	49.5%
.500 or above in Conference	74.6%	88.4%	74.0%
Conference Champion	20.3%	36.3%	19.6%
Last Place in Conference	4.0%	1.4%	4.1%

First Four	2.6%	1.6%	2.6%
First Round	15.1%	27.9%	14.5%
Second Round	1.4%	4.7%	1.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	1.3%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 5	4 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 4	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	17	@ Arkansas	L	61-79	5%
Nov 12, 2023	14	@ Baylor	L	60-79	4%
Nov 17, 2023	160	Weber St.	L	64-66	43%
Nov 18, 2023	110	Colgate	L	68-73	32%
Nov 19, 2023	68	Yale	L	61-70	21%
Nov 29, 2023	224	@ Queens	L	71-72	46%
Dec 02, 2023	205	Western Carolina	W	71-67	63%
Dec 06, 2023	242	Wofford	W	70-64	69%
Dec 16, 2023	153	Appalachian St.	L	63-65	42%
Dec 19, 2023	197	@ Chattanooga	L	68-71	40%
Dec 21, 2023	114	@ Akron	L	62-70	25%
Dec 30, 2023	82	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	61-72	18%
Jan 06, 2024	278	@ High Point	W	74-72	56%
Jan 10, 2024	328	Charleston Southern	W	73-62	82%
Jan 13, 2024	322	Presbyterian	W	69-58	82%
Jan 17, 2024	182	@ Radford	L	62-66	38%
Jan 20, 2024	189	Winthrop	W	71-68	59%
Jan 24, 2024	213	@ Longwood	L	65-67	44%
Jan 27, 2024	273	South Carolina Upstate	W	72-64	74%
Jan 31, 2024	170	UNC Asheville	W	69-67	55%
Feb 07, 2024	322	@ Presbyterian	W	66-61	65%
Feb 10, 2024	278	High Point	W	77-69	75%
Feb 14, 2024	328	@ Charleston Southern	W	70-65	67%
Feb 17, 2024	273	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	69-67	56%
Feb 21, 2024	182	Radford	W	65-63	57%
Feb 24, 2024	170	@ UNC Asheville	L	66-70	36%
Feb 28, 2024	213	Longwood	W	68-64	62%
Mar 02, 2024	189	@ Winthrop	L	68-71	39%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	1.9	4.6	5.8	4.9	2.2	0.7		20.3	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	3.4	6.3	5.2	1.9	0.2				17.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	4.2	6.4	3.6	0.6	0.0					15.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	4.0	5.9	2.6	0.3	0.0						13.5	4th
5th						0.0	0.8	3.6	5.1	1.7	0.1								11.3	5th
6th					0.0	0.7	3.0	3.6	1.2	0.1	0.0								8.6	6th
7th				0.1	0.7	2.3	2.6	0.8	0.0										6.6	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	1.4	0.4	0.0											4.3	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0												2.1	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.4	2.9	4.6	6.9	8.8	11.0	12.5	12.7	12.1	10.5	7.7	5.1	2.2	0.7			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
15-1	100.0%	2.2		2.2	0.0
14-2	95.8%	4.9		4.3	0.6	0.0
13-3	74.6%	5.8		3.8	1.8	0.2
12-4	44.2%	4.6		1.9	2.1	0.6	0.0
11-5	15.5%	1.9		0.3	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	20.3%	20.3		13.2	5.5	1.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.7%		67.8%	65.7%	2.1%	11.7				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2		6.2%
15-1	2.2%		61.3%	60.1%	1.1%	12.5							0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.9		2.9%
14-2	5.1%		49.8%	49.6%	0.2%	13.2										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0	2.6		0.4%
13-3	7.7%		35.1%	35.1%		13.7												0.0	0.3	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.0	5.0
12-4	10.5%		28.1%	28.1%		14.2												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	0.9	0.2	7.5
11-5	12.1%		18.8%	18.8%		14.8													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.9	0.6	9.8
10-6	12.7%		13.4%	13.4%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	11.0
9-7	12.5%		8.9%	8.9%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	11.4
8-8	11.0%		5.8%	5.8%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	10.4
7-9	8.8%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																0.0	0.3	8.4
6-10	6.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	6.8
5-11	4.6%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	4.5
4-12	2.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
3-13	1.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
2-14	0.7%																							0.7
1-15	0.2%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		16.3%	16.3%	0.1%	14.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.6	3.3	3.7	3.6	3.5	83.7		0.1%