IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.2	#224
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.3	#51
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.0	#170

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.3	#273

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.1%	9.7%	5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	13.9	14.6

.500 or above	34.2%	56.4%	28.0%
.500 or above in Conference	53.9%	67.9%	50.0%
Conference Champion	7.3%	11.9%	6.0%
Last Place in Conference	7.2%	3.8%	8.1%

First Four	1.2%	1.1%	1.3%
First Round	5.6%	9.3%	4.6%
Second Round	0.5%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 21.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 5	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	135	@ Marshall	L	78-86	22%
Nov 10, 2023	171	@ Southern Illinois	L	66-72	28%
Nov 14, 2023	278	High Point	W	85-79	71%
Nov 18, 2023	257	Fairfield	W	72-70	57%
Nov 19, 2023	125	@ Drexel	L	65-74	22%
Nov 22, 2023	314	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	84-76	77%
Nov 25, 2023	129	@ Richmond	L	68-77	23%
Nov 29, 2023	195	Gardner-Webb	W	72-71	54%
Dec 05, 2023	189	@ Winthrop	L	75-80	32%
Dec 13, 2023	153	Appalachian St.	L	70-71	47%
Dec 19, 2023	237	@ Mercer	L	70-72	42%
Dec 22, 2023	45	@ Clemson	L	68-84	8%
Dec 30, 2023	3	@ Duke	L	61-85	2%
Jan 06, 2024	204	@ Kennesaw St.	L	74-78	36%
Jan 10, 2024	159	Florida Gulf Coast	L	75-76	47%
Jan 12, 2024	207	Stetson	W	76-74	56%
Jan 18, 2024	246	@ Jacksonville	L	64-66	45%
Jan 20, 2024	280	@ North Florida	W	79-78	51%
Jan 24, 2024	336	Central Arkansas	W	88-77	81%
Jan 27, 2024	223	@ North Alabama	L	76-79	39%
Feb 01, 2024	134	Eastern Kentucky	L	79-81	43%
Feb 03, 2024	215	Bellarmine	W	71-69	57%
Feb 08, 2024	184	@ Lipscomb	L	76-81	33%
Feb 10, 2024	236	@ Austin Peay	L	72-74	43%
Feb 14, 2024	280	North Florida	W	82-76	70%
Feb 16, 2024	246	Jacksonville	W	67-63	64%
Feb 22, 2024	207	@ Stetson	L	73-77	37%
Feb 24, 2024	159	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	72-79	29%
Mar 01, 2024	204	Kennesaw St.	W	77-75	55%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.7	1.8	2.2	1.6	0.8	0.1		7.3	1st
2nd										0.0	1.0	3.0	3.0	1.1	0.2	0.0			8.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.9	3.7	3.3	0.8	0.1					8.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.6	3.5	4.0	1.0	0.0						9.1	4th
5th								0.3	3.2	4.9	1.3	0.1							9.9	5th
6th							0.1	2.1	5.0	2.0	0.1								9.3	6th
7th						0.1	1.2	5.1	2.9	0.2									9.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.9	4.1	3.9	0.6										9.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	3.4	4.2	0.9	0.0										9.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.6	2.5	3.6	1.4	0.0											8.3	10th
11th		0.1	1.0	2.2	2.7	1.0	0.1	0.0											7.1	11th
12th	0.2	0.7	1.2	1.2	0.4	0.0	0.0												3.7	12th

Total	0.2	0.8	2.2	4.1	6.4	9.1	11.1	12.3	12.3	11.7	10.1	7.9	5.6	3.4	1.9	0.8	0.1			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	99.1%	0.8		0.7	0.1
14-2	87.0%	1.6		1.3	0.3	0.0
13-3	64.1%	2.2		1.2	0.9	0.2	0.0
12-4	31.8%	1.8		0.5	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-5	8.3%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	7.3%	7.3		4.0	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		52.1%	46.4%	5.7%	11.4					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		10.7%
15-1	0.8%		42.9%	41.4%	1.4%	12.3										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.5		2.5%
14-2	1.9%		30.7%	30.3%	0.4%	13.0											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.3		0.6%
13-3	3.4%		23.8%	23.8%	0.0%	13.6												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	2.6		0.0%
12-4	5.6%		17.1%	17.1%		14.0												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0	4.7
11-5	7.9%		13.3%	13.3%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	6.9
10-6	10.1%		8.1%	8.1%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	9.3
9-7	11.7%		5.0%	5.0%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	11.1
8-8	12.3%		2.9%	2.9%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	12.0
7-9	12.3%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.2	12.0
6-10	11.1%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	11.0
5-11	9.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	9.0
4-12	6.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
3-13	4.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
2-14	2.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	2.2
1-15	0.8%																							0.8
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		6.1%	6.1%	0.0%	14.4					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.5	1.4	1.6	93.9		0.0%