IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.5	#314
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.2	#102
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.4	#226

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.1	#352

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.3%	27.9%	16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.8

.500 or above	47.2%	69.4%	41.8%
.500 or above in Conference	77.0%	86.9%	74.6%
Conference Champion	22.0%	30.7%	19.9%
Last Place in Conference	3.2%	1.2%	3.7%

First Four	11.9%	15.2%	11.1%
First Round	11.3%	19.2%	9.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Away) - 19.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 4	14 - 10	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	216	@ Buffalo	L	77-86	20%
Nov 11, 2023	66	@ Seton Hall	L	63-83	4%
Nov 15, 2023	279	St. Peter's	W	67-66	53%
Nov 22, 2023	224	@ Queens	L	76-84	23%
Nov 25, 2023	246	Jacksonville	L	63-67	37%
Nov 26, 2023	285	@ Robert Morris	L	70-75	34%
Nov 30, 2023	162	@ Fordham	L	69-81	15%
Dec 02, 2023	339	@ NJIT	L	73-74	48%
Dec 08, 2023	325	@ Manhattan	L	73-75	43%
Dec 11, 2023	303	Columbia	W	79-77	58%
Dec 21, 2023	257	Fairfield	L	70-71	49%
Dec 29, 2023	21	@ Illinois	L	66-91	2%
Jan 04, 2024	330	@ Merrimack	L	68-70	44%
Jan 06, 2024	362	Le Moyne	W	82-68	89%
Jan 10, 2024	324	Chicago St.	W	75-71	63%
Jan 13, 2024	350	Stonehill	W	78-71	72%
Jan 15, 2024	358	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	78-76	58%
Jan 19, 2024	350	@ Stonehill	W	75-74	53%
Jan 25, 2024	335	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-69	67%
Jan 27, 2024	301	Sacred Heart	W	80-78	57%
Feb 01, 2024	359	LIU Brooklyn	W	86-77	78%
Feb 08, 2024	298	Wagner	W	68-66	56%
Feb 10, 2024	335	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	71-72	48%
Feb 15, 2024	359	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	83-80	60%
Feb 17, 2024	358	St. Francis (PA)	W	81-73	75%
Feb 22, 2024	301	@ Sacred Heart	L	77-81	37%
Feb 24, 2024	362	@ Le Moyne	W	79-71	75%
Feb 29, 2024	330	Merrimack	W	71-67	64%
Mar 02, 2024	298	@ Wagner	L	65-69	37%
Projected Record						14 - 15	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.9	4.8	6.5	5.0	2.7	0.8		22.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	3.2	6.6	5.5	2.1	0.3				18.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.6	3.7	6.6	4.1	0.8	0.0					15.8	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.7	5.9	2.7	0.3	0.0						13.3	4th
5th						0.0	0.5	3.2	4.9	1.8	0.2								10.7	5th
6th					0.1	0.5	2.6	3.7	1.4	0.1									8.4	6th
7th				0.1	0.7	2.0	2.5	0.8	0.1										6.2	7th
8th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.3	0.4	0.0											3.9	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0												1.6	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.3	2.5	4.0	6.1	8.4	10.7	12.0	12.9	12.8	11.1	8.6	5.3	2.7	0.8			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.8		0.8
15-1	100.0%	2.7		2.7	0.1
14-2	94.4%	5.0		4.2	0.7	0.0
13-3	75.3%	6.5		4.2	2.1	0.1	0.0
12-4	43.5%	4.8		2.0	2.2	0.6	0.0
11-5	14.6%	1.9		0.4	0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	22.0%	22.0		14.3	6.1	1.4	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.8%		84.5%	84.5%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1
15-1	2.7%		72.7%	72.7%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	0.7
14-2	5.3%		58.8%	58.8%		15.7														0.0	0.2	0.6	2.3	2.2
13-3	8.6%		42.3%	42.3%		15.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	3.2	5.0
12-4	11.1%		30.3%	30.3%		15.9															0.0	0.2	3.2	7.8
11-5	12.8%		20.8%	20.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	2.6	10.2
10-6	12.9%		12.2%	12.2%		16.0																0.0	1.6	11.3
9-7	12.0%		6.4%	6.4%		16.0																0.0	0.8	11.2
8-8	10.7%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	10.4
7-9	8.4%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	8.2
6-10	6.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	6.1
5-11	4.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
4-12	2.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
3-13	1.3%																							1.3
2-14	0.5%																							0.5
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		18.3%	18.3%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.1	0.6	2.1	15.4	81.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%