IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.6	#303
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.2	#52
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#286

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#297

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	2.7%	0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.2	15.0

.500 or above	17.3%	47.0%	16.5%
.500 or above in Conference	14.0%	30.7%	13.6%
Conference Champion	0.9%	3.5%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	47.8%	27.5%	48.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
First Round	0.8%	2.6%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 2.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 6	2 - 10
Quad 4	7 - 6	8 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	46	@ Providence	L	64-85	3%
Nov 11, 2023	318	Albany	W	76-72	65%
Nov 18, 2023	138	@ Temple	L	65-78	13%
Nov 21, 2023	359	LIU Brooklyn	W	85-75	81%
Nov 25, 2023	264	Maine	W	72-71	54%
Nov 29, 2023	295	Loyola Maryland	W	73-70	59%
Dec 03, 2023	288	@ New Hampshire	L	66-70	37%
Dec 05, 2023	293	Lafayette	W	68-66	58%
Dec 11, 2023	314	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	77-79	42%
Dec 30, 2023	162	@ Fordham	L	68-79	17%
Jan 09, 2024	157	@ Cornell	L	76-87	17%
Jan 15, 2024	68	@ Yale	L	62-81	6%
Jan 20, 2024	130	Princeton	L	71-78	28%
Jan 27, 2024	203	Penn	L	73-76	41%
Feb 02, 2024	219	@ Harvard	L	66-74	26%
Feb 03, 2024	243	@ Dartmouth	L	72-78	30%
Feb 10, 2024	185	@ Brown	L	69-79	20%
Feb 16, 2024	243	Dartmouth	L	74-75	49%
Feb 17, 2024	219	Harvard	L	69-71	44%
Feb 23, 2024	185	Brown	L	72-76	38%
Feb 24, 2024	68	Yale	L	65-78	15%
Mar 01, 2024	130	@ Princeton	L	68-81	15%
Mar 02, 2024	203	@ Penn	L	70-79	24%
Mar 09, 2024	157	Cornell	L	79-84	33%
Projected Record						8 - 16	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd								0.1	0.6	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0				2.6	2nd
3rd							0.2	1.4	2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0					4.6	3rd
4th						0.3	2.3	3.2	1.2	0.1							7.1	4th
5th				0.0	0.6	3.9	4.9	1.5	0.1								10.9	5th
6th			0.0	1.3	5.7	6.6	1.8	0.1									15.4	6th
7th		0.5	3.9	9.0	7.9	1.9	0.1										23.3	7th
8th	5.2	10.7	11.5	6.3	1.5	0.1											35.3	8th

Total	5.2	11.2	15.5	16.6	15.6	12.7	9.1	6.3	3.9	2.1	1.1	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
12-2	90.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
11-3	59.4%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
10-4	23.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0
9-5	6.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
13-1	0.1%		20.0%	19.2%	0.8%	12.4													0.0	0.0				0.1		1.0%
12-2	0.1%		25.1%	25.1%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
11-3	0.4%		12.9%	12.9%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4
10-4	1.1%		11.8%	11.8%		14.1														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.9
9-5	2.1%		5.6%	5.6%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	2.0
8-6	3.9%		3.7%	3.7%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	3.8
7-7	6.3%		2.1%	2.1%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	6.2
6-8	9.1%		1.2%	1.2%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.0
5-9	12.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	12.7
4-10	15.6%		0.4%	0.4%		15.9																0.0	0.1	15.5
3-11	16.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	16.6
2-12	15.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.5
1-13	11.2%																							11.2
0-14	5.2%																							5.2

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	15.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.4	99.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%