Preseason Rankings
Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#295
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.6#249
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#293
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#276
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 12.1% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.6 15.3
.500 or above 33.8% 68.5% 33.0%
.500 or above in Conference 50.0% 72.7% 49.4%
Conference Champion 5.2% 15.1% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 3.6% 12.0%
First Four1.4% 1.9% 1.4%
First Round3.4% 10.8% 3.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 36   @ Florida L 60-81 2%    
  Nov 11, 2023 185   @ Brown L 65-74 19%    
  Nov 15, 2023 297   Binghamton W 69-66 62%    
  Nov 18, 2023 301   Sacred Heart W 73-72 51%    
  Nov 19, 2023 292   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-72 39%    
  Nov 25, 2023 52   @ Missouri L 63-83 4%    
  Nov 29, 2023 303   @ Columbia L 70-73 41%    
  Dec 02, 2023 355   Delaware St. W 73-64 79%    
  Dec 06, 2023 199   @ La Salle L 66-75 22%    
  Dec 09, 2023 250   Mount St. Mary's W 66-65 52%    
  Dec 16, 2023 139   @ George Mason L 61-73 15%    
  Dec 29, 2023 136   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-77 15%    
  Jan 03, 2024 110   @ Colgate L 65-79 12%    
  Jan 06, 2024 274   Lehigh W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 10, 2024 300   @ Army L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 13, 2024 313   Boston University W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 15, 2024 261   American W 64-63 54%    
  Jan 20, 2024 327   @ Holy Cross L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 24, 2024 293   Lafayette W 65-62 59%    
  Jan 27, 2024 277   @ Navy L 63-67 37%    
  Jan 31, 2024 331   @ Bucknell L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 03, 2024 327   Holy Cross W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 07, 2024 261   @ American L 61-66 34%    
  Feb 10, 2024 110   Colgate L 68-76 26%    
  Feb 14, 2024 293   @ Lafayette L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 17, 2024 274   @ Lehigh L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 21, 2024 277   Navy W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 25, 2024 313   @ Boston University L 65-67 45%    
  Feb 28, 2024 331   Bucknell W 71-65 68%    
  Mar 02, 2024 300   Army W 72-69 61%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.1 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.7 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.7 2.7 0.6 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.8 3.2 1.4 0.2 9.1 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 1.7 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.1 7.4 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.4 5.4 7.3 9.1 10.6 11.4 10.7 10.4 9.3 7.2 5.6 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 91.4% 0.8    0.7 0.2
15-3 68.0% 1.4    1.0 0.4 0.0
14-4 37.8% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.1% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.9 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 68.9% 64.7% 4.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9%
17-1 0.3% 50.4% 50.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.9% 33.4% 33.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.1% 24.3% 24.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.6
14-4 3.4% 16.3% 16.3% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.8
13-5 5.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 4.9
12-6 7.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.6
11-7 9.3% 5.5% 5.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.8
10-8 10.4% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.1
9-9 10.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.6
8-10 11.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.3
7-11 10.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.5
6-12 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.0
5-13 7.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.2 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%