Preseason Rankings
Navy
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#277
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.7#314
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#316
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#219
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 7.6% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 51.4% 67.1% 40.2%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 67.4% 51.1%
Conference Champion 6.8% 9.6% 4.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.2% 5.8% 11.5%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 1.5%
First Round4.6% 6.6% 3.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Campbell (Away) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 412 - 814 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 294   @ Campbell L 62-64 42%    
  Nov 10, 2023 138   Temple L 62-67 31%    
  Nov 18, 2023 241   @ UC San Diego L 64-69 32%    
  Nov 20, 2023 227   @ San Diego L 66-72 30%    
  Nov 29, 2023 351   VMI W 71-62 80%    
  Dec 03, 2023 357   Coppin St. W 76-65 82%    
  Dec 05, 2023 238   @ George Washington L 68-73 32%    
  Dec 08, 2023 232   @ Quinnipiac L 66-72 31%    
  Dec 21, 2023 212   @ Youngstown St. L 67-74 28%    
  Dec 30, 2023 302   William & Mary W 66-62 65%    
  Jan 03, 2024 313   Boston University W 65-60 67%    
  Jan 06, 2024 110   Colgate L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 10, 2024 327   @ Holy Cross W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 13, 2024 293   @ Lafayette L 60-62 42%    
  Jan 17, 2024 274   Lehigh W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 20, 2024 300   Army W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 24, 2024 331   @ Bucknell W 66-65 53%    
  Jan 27, 2024 295   Loyola Maryland W 67-63 63%    
  Jan 31, 2024 274   @ Lehigh L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 03, 2024 110   @ Colgate L 62-75 14%    
  Feb 07, 2024 331   Bucknell W 69-62 71%    
  Feb 10, 2024 300   @ Army L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 14, 2024 261   American W 62-60 56%    
  Feb 17, 2024 313   @ Boston University L 62-63 47%    
  Feb 21, 2024 295   @ Loyola Maryland L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 25, 2024 327   Holy Cross W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 28, 2024 293   Lafayette W 63-59 62%    
  Mar 02, 2024 261   @ American L 59-63 38%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 6.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 4.1 2.7 1.0 0.2 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 4.9 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.4 3.1 0.6 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.8 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.7 1.9 0.1 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.6 1.3 0.2 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.8 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.1 5.9 7.9 9.4 10.3 11.6 11.2 10.2 8.6 6.7 4.6 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.1
16-2 88.3% 1.2    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 64.3% 1.9    1.3 0.6 0.0
14-4 35.8% 1.7    0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 16.2% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 4.1 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 74.1% 74.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 46.9% 46.8% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2%
16-2 1.3% 32.3% 32.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.0% 26.5% 26.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.2
14-4 4.6% 18.8% 18.8% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 3.7
13-5 6.7% 13.2% 13.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 5.8
12-6 8.6% 8.4% 8.4% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 7.9
11-7 10.2% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 9.6
10-8 11.2% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.8
9-9 11.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.3
8-10 10.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.2
7-11 9.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.3
6-12 7.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-15 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.6 94.5 0.0%