Preseason Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#227
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.7#115
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#162
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.6 14.9
.500 or above 22.8% 29.7% 10.1%
.500 or above in Conference 13.5% 16.4% 8.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 38.2% 33.1% 47.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 64.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 47 - 310 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 245   Jackson St. W 76-72 65%    
  Nov 11, 2023 241   @ UC San Diego L 73-75 42%    
  Nov 17, 2023 362   Le Moyne W 83-64 96%    
  Nov 20, 2023 277   Navy W 72-66 70%    
  Nov 24, 2023 198   Arkansas St. L 68-70 43%    
  Nov 29, 2023 251   Northern Colorado W 80-76 65%    
  Dec 03, 2023 49   @ Stanford L 66-82 8%    
  Dec 06, 2023 83   @ Utah St. L 70-83 14%    
  Dec 09, 2023 65   Arizona St. L 69-78 23%    
  Dec 15, 2023 211   Portland St. W 82-80 56%    
  Dec 21, 2023 304   South Dakota W 77-70 74%    
  Dec 29, 2023 111   Fresno St. L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 04, 2024 26   St. Mary's L 60-73 14%    
  Jan 06, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 70-92 3%    
  Jan 11, 2024 92   San Francisco L 73-79 32%    
  Jan 13, 2024 191   Pepperdine W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 18, 2024 174   @ Portland L 77-83 30%    
  Jan 20, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 73-89 9%    
  Jan 27, 2024 191   @ Pepperdine L 79-84 33%    
  Feb 01, 2024 92   @ San Francisco L 70-82 17%    
  Feb 03, 2024 144   @ Santa Clara L 74-82 25%    
  Feb 07, 2024 116   Loyola Marymount L 73-77 39%    
  Feb 10, 2024 188   @ Pacific L 75-81 32%    
  Feb 15, 2024 174   Portland L 79-80 49%    
  Feb 17, 2024 144   Santa Clara L 77-79 44%    
  Feb 24, 2024 26   @ St. Mary's L 57-76 6%    
  Feb 29, 2024 116   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-80 22%    
  Mar 02, 2024 188   Pacific W 79-78 51%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 6.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 4.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.3 7.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 16.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 7.6 7.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 21.2 8th
9th 3.0 7.4 9.1 5.9 1.6 0.1 0.0 27.3 9th
Total 3.0 7.7 11.8 14.6 15.2 13.5 11.8 8.8 6.2 3.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 88.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 36.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 16.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 2.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 35.1% 2.6% 32.5% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.3%
13-3 0.1% 31.2% 13.0% 18.2% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 20.9%
12-4 0.4% 11.9% 8.0% 3.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.3%
11-5 1.0% 5.3% 4.8% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5%
10-6 2.0% 3.6% 3.4% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.2%
9-7 3.7% 2.2% 2.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.6
8-8 6.2% 1.2% 1.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
7-9 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7
6-10 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
5-11 13.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
4-12 15.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 15.2
3-13 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.6
2-14 11.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.8
1-15 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
0-16 3.0% 3.0
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.4 0.1%