Preseason Rankings
Santa Clara
West Coast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#144
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace73.7#43
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#117
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#187
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.0% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.6 11.4 12.8
.500 or above 39.6% 46.5% 20.2%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 47.9% 30.6%
Conference Champion 1.8% 2.1% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 11.6% 9.4% 17.8%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.6%
First Round3.7% 4.4% 1.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Tech (Home) - 73.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 5
Quad 22 - 42 - 10
Quad 34 - 47 - 14
Quad 47 - 113 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 210   Utah Tech W 61-54 74%    
  Nov 11, 2023 358   St. Francis (PA) W 85-67 96%    
  Nov 14, 2023 49   @ Stanford L 69-80 16%    
  Nov 18, 2023 268   SE Louisiana W 84-74 83%    
  Nov 20, 2023 361   Mississippi Valley W 84-62 98%    
  Nov 24, 2023 35   Oregon L 69-79 19%    
  Dec 02, 2023 105   @ California L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 09, 2023 55   New Mexico L 79-87 25%    
  Dec 13, 2023 83   Utah St. L 76-78 44%    
  Dec 16, 2023 86   Washington St. L 69-73 35%    
  Dec 20, 2023 147   @ San Jose St. L 68-71 40%    
  Dec 23, 2023 94   Duquesne L 75-79 38%    
  Dec 30, 2023 68   Yale L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 04, 2024 116   @ Loyola Marymount L 74-79 35%    
  Jan 06, 2024 191   @ Pepperdine L 81-82 49%    
  Jan 11, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 76-87 19%    
  Jan 13, 2024 26   St. Mary's L 63-71 25%    
  Jan 18, 2024 188   @ Pacific L 78-79 48%    
  Jan 20, 2024 174   Portland W 83-78 65%    
  Jan 25, 2024 191   Pepperdine W 85-79 68%    
  Jan 31, 2024 26   @ St. Mary's L 60-74 13%    
  Feb 03, 2024 227   San Diego W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 10, 2024 92   @ San Francisco L 73-80 29%    
  Feb 15, 2024 188   Pacific W 81-76 67%    
  Feb 17, 2024 227   @ San Diego W 79-77 56%    
  Feb 22, 2024 116   Loyola Marymount W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 24, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 73-90 8%    
  Feb 29, 2024 174   @ Portland L 80-81 46%    
  Mar 02, 2024 92   San Francisco L 76-77 48%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.1 1.0 0.1 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.9 3.1 0.8 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 5.8 6.0 2.3 0.3 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.3 3.0 7.0 5.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 17.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.6 4.0 0.7 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.3 2.3 2.2 0.8 0.1 6.7 9th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.1 5.9 8.5 11.1 13.0 13.6 12.7 11.3 8.2 5.5 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 78.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2
13-3 37.3% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1
12-4 13.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 2.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.8% 1.8 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 66.7% 33.3% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.1% 85.1% 22.0% 63.1% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 80.9%
14-2 0.6% 56.6% 23.8% 32.8% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 43.0%
13-3 1.6% 38.5% 15.5% 23.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 27.2%
12-4 3.3% 23.3% 10.5% 12.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.5 14.4%
11-5 5.5% 9.5% 5.9% 3.5% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.0 3.7%
10-6 8.2% 6.3% 5.2% 1.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.7 1.1%
9-7 11.3% 4.0% 3.8% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.9 0.2%
8-8 12.7% 2.5% 2.5% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.4 0.1%
7-9 13.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.4
6-10 13.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.8
5-11 11.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.1
4-12 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.4
3-13 5.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.9
2-14 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1
1-15 1.3% 1.3
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.2% 2.8% 1.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 95.8 1.4%