Preseason Rankings
Lehigh
Patriot League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#274
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.5#66
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#250
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.8% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 35.6% 52.7% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 58.2% 68.7% 52.4%
Conference Champion 7.4% 11.3% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 4.9% 11.0%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.5%
First Round5.0% 7.9% 3.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 411 - 712 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 157   Cornell L 78-82 36%    
  Nov 10, 2023 76   @ Penn St. L 62-78 7%    
  Nov 12, 2023 16   @ North Carolina L 64-87 2%    
  Nov 21, 2023 311   @ Monmouth L 72-73 46%    
  Nov 24, 2023 46   @ Providence L 63-82 4%    
  Nov 29, 2023 358   St. Francis (PA) W 79-68 83%    
  Dec 02, 2023 292   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 73-75 43%    
  Dec 21, 2023 103   @ Boston College L 65-78 13%    
  Dec 30, 2023 272   @ Marist L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 03, 2024 261   @ American L 65-69 38%    
  Jan 06, 2024 295   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 10, 2024 331   Bucknell W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 13, 2024 327   Holy Cross W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 17, 2024 277   @ Navy L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 20, 2024 261   American W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 22, 2024 110   @ Colgate L 69-82 14%    
  Jan 27, 2024 327   @ Holy Cross W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 31, 2024 277   Navy W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 03, 2024 313   @ Boston University L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 07, 2024 300   Army W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 10, 2024 293   Lafayette W 68-64 63%    
  Feb 12, 2024 331   @ Bucknell W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 17, 2024 295   Loyola Maryland W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 21, 2024 300   @ Army L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 24, 2024 293   @ Lafayette L 65-67 43%    
  Feb 28, 2024 313   Boston University W 71-66 67%    
  Mar 02, 2024 110   Colgate L 72-79 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.9 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.2 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.0 3.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.6 1.8 0.2 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 5.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.5 3.9 5.8 7.8 9.4 10.8 11.2 10.9 10.2 8.9 6.8 4.9 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 88.7% 1.3    1.1 0.3 0.0
15-3 62.6% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.0
14-4 38.5% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.9% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 4.4 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 57.5% 57.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.6% 55.9% 55.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.5% 37.5% 37.5% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.2% 27.3% 27.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.3
14-4 4.9% 19.1% 19.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.0
13-5 6.8% 12.7% 12.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 5.9
12-6 8.9% 9.3% 9.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 8.1
11-7 10.2% 4.5% 4.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.8
10-8 10.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.5
9-9 11.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
8-10 10.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.6
7-11 9.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.3
6-12 7.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
4-14 3.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 2.5% 2.5
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.7 2.5 94.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%