IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Northeast
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.5	#301
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.5	#45
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.1	#274

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#307

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	25.1%	38.7%	23.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	57.9%	81.7%	54.2%
.500 or above in Conference	82.7%	92.5%	81.1%
Conference Champion	28.5%	41.3%	26.5%
Last Place in Conference	2.0%	0.6%	2.3%

First Four	15.2%	17.8%	14.8%
First Round	16.2%	28.3%	14.4%
Second Round	0.3%	0.9%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 13.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 2	1 - 5
Quad 4	15 - 9	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	148	@ Iona	L	70-82	13%
Nov 14, 2023	327	@ Holy Cross	L	75-76	48%
Nov 17, 2023	292	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	74-78	37%
Nov 18, 2023	295	Loyola Maryland	L	72-73	49%
Nov 21, 2023	297	Binghamton	W	74-71	61%
Nov 26, 2023	136	@ Saint Joseph's	L	71-83	14%
Nov 30, 2023	288	New Hampshire	W	70-68	59%
Dec 02, 2023	313	Boston University	W	72-68	64%
Dec 06, 2023	44	@ St. John's	L	72-93	4%
Dec 09, 2023	257	Fairfield	W	70-69	53%
Dec 16, 2023	46	@ Providence	L	64-85	4%
Dec 19, 2023	318	@ Albany	L	74-76	45%
Dec 21, 2023	243	Dartmouth	L	75-76	50%
Jan 04, 2024	358	St. Francis (PA)	W	80-71	79%
Jan 06, 2024	330	@ Merrimack	L	67-68	48%
Jan 13, 2024	359	LIU Brooklyn	W	85-75	81%
Jan 15, 2024	362	@ Le Moyne	W	78-69	78%
Jan 21, 2024	298	Wagner	W	67-64	60%
Jan 25, 2024	358	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	77-74	61%
Jan 27, 2024	314	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	78-80	43%
Feb 01, 2024	350	Stonehill	W	77-69	75%
Feb 03, 2024	362	Le Moyne	W	81-66	90%
Feb 08, 2024	335	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	71-70	51%
Feb 10, 2024	359	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	82-78	64%
Feb 17, 2024	298	@ Wagner	L	64-67	40%
Feb 22, 2024	314	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	81-77	63%
Feb 24, 2024	335	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-68	70%
Feb 29, 2024	350	@ Stonehill	W	74-72	57%
Mar 02, 2024	330	Merrimack	W	70-65	67%
Projected Record						15 - 14	10 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	2.0	5.6	8.1	7.0	4.1	1.3		28.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	3.4	7.0	6.1	2.4	0.4				19.8	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	3.6	6.5	4.0	0.9	0.0					15.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.4	3.1	5.5	2.6	0.3	0.0						11.9	4th
5th						0.0	0.4	2.7	4.3	1.7	0.1								9.4	5th
6th					0.0	0.4	1.9	3.0	1.1	0.1									6.5	6th
7th				0.0	0.4	1.5	1.9	0.8	0.0										4.7	7th
8th			0.1	0.4	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.0											2.7	8th
9th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0												1.0	9th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.6	3.0	4.6	7.0	9.1	11.3	12.9	13.4	12.6	10.5	7.4	4.1	1.3			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.3		1.3
15-1	100.0%	4.1		4.0	0.1
14-2	94.4%	7.0		6.1	0.9	0.0
13-3	76.9%	8.1		5.3	2.6	0.2	0.0
12-4	44.7%	5.6		2.4	2.5	0.7	0.0
11-5	15.2%	2.0		0.4	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.1%	0.3		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	28.5%	28.5		19.5	7.1	1.6	0.3	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.3%		83.9%	83.9%		14.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2
15-1	4.1%		74.9%	74.9%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	1.5	1.0
14-2	7.4%		61.8%	61.8%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.3	1.0	3.3	2.8
13-3	10.5%		48.7%	48.7%		15.8															0.1	0.6	4.4	5.4
12-4	12.6%		34.6%	34.6%		15.9															0.0	0.3	4.0	8.2
11-5	13.4%		25.1%	25.1%		16.0															0.0	0.1	3.3	10.0
10-6	12.9%		15.4%	15.4%		16.0																0.0	2.0	10.9
9-7	11.3%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0																	0.9	10.4
8-8	9.1%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																	0.4	8.7
7-9	7.0%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.1	6.8
6-10	4.6%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
5-11	3.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
4-12	1.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
3-13	0.8%																							0.8
2-14	0.3%																							0.3
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		25.1%	25.1%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	3.4	20.3	74.9		0.0%