Preseason Rankings
Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#148
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.2#99
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#149
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#154
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.9% 45.0% 32.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.7 13.1 14.0
.500 or above 85.5% 94.8% 83.0%
.500 or above in Conference 91.0% 95.3% 89.9%
Conference Champion 43.4% 55.3% 40.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.3% 0.9%
First Four1.9% 1.0% 2.1%
First Round34.1% 44.5% 31.3%
Second Round4.6% 7.7% 3.7%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 2.2% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 21.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 44 - 6
Quad 415 - 419 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 80   @ College of Charleston L 74-82 21%    
  Nov 10, 2023 301   Sacred Heart W 82-70 87%    
  Nov 20, 2023 278   High Point W 83-75 76%    
  Nov 26, 2023 33   @ Colorado L 67-81 11%    
  Nov 29, 2023 272   Marist W 74-64 82%    
  Dec 01, 2023 257   @ Fairfield W 70-67 62%    
  Dec 06, 2023 112   Hofstra W 74-73 52%    
  Dec 10, 2023 358   St. Francis (PA) W 83-65 94%    
  Dec 16, 2023 136   Saint Joseph's L 74-75 48%    
  Dec 21, 2023 110   Colgate W 76-75 52%    
  Dec 30, 2023 219   @ Harvard W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 05, 2024 279   @ St. Peter's W 67-62 66%    
  Jan 07, 2024 258   Niagara W 71-62 79%    
  Jan 14, 2024 250   Mount St. Mary's W 73-64 78%    
  Jan 19, 2024 269   Canisius W 78-68 80%    
  Jan 21, 2024 232   @ Quinnipiac W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 26, 2024 266   @ Siena W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 02, 2024 257   Fairfield W 73-64 78%    
  Feb 04, 2024 230   Rider W 75-67 74%    
  Feb 08, 2024 258   @ Niagara W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 10, 2024 269   @ Canisius W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 16, 2024 325   Manhattan W 78-64 88%    
  Feb 18, 2024 279   St. Peter's W 70-59 81%    
  Feb 23, 2024 230   @ Rider W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 25, 2024 250   @ Mount St. Mary's W 70-67 60%    
  Mar 01, 2024 232   Quinnipiac W 79-71 74%    
  Mar 03, 2024 272   @ Marist W 71-67 64%    
  Mar 07, 2024 325   @ Manhattan W 75-67 74%    
  Mar 09, 2024 266   Siena W 76-66 80%    
Projected Record 19 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.9 8.9 9.8 8.3 5.4 2.0 43.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.2 5.6 5.4 3.0 1.0 0.1 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.4 2.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 0.7 0.1 4.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.5 4.8 6.4 8.3 9.9 11.0 12.0 12.0 10.8 8.4 5.4 2.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 2.0    2.0
19-1 100.0% 5.4    5.4 0.0
18-2 98.3% 8.3    7.9 0.4
17-3 91.1% 9.8    8.3 1.5 0.0
16-4 74.5% 8.9    6.4 2.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 48.6% 5.9    3.0 2.3 0.5 0.0
14-6 22.6% 2.5    0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 43.4% 43.4 33.8 7.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 2.0% 85.5% 81.6% 3.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 21.3%
19-1 5.4% 75.3% 74.5% 0.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.3 3.2%
18-2 8.4% 65.3% 65.2% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.9 0.2%
17-3 10.8% 55.9% 55.9% 13.5 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.8
16-4 12.0% 45.0% 45.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.5 0.2 6.6
15-5 12.0% 36.8% 36.8% 14.5 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.7 0.5 7.6
14-6 11.0% 27.8% 27.8% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.7 7.9
13-7 9.9% 21.4% 21.4% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 7.7
12-8 8.3% 15.6% 15.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 7.0
11-9 6.4% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 5.7
10-10 4.8% 7.2% 7.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.5
9-11 3.5% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.3
8-12 2.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 2.2
7-13 1.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.6
6-14 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-15 0.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 34.9% 34.8% 0.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.5 4.6 7.7 9.2 7.1 4.2 65.1 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 87.0% 5.3 0.5 9.7 4.9 15.1 17.8 28.1 1.1 4.3 0.5 4.9