Preseason Rankings
High Point
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#278
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.3#20
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#238
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#315
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 6.2% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 30.8% 48.5% 22.7%
.500 or above in Conference 38.5% 50.0% 33.2%
Conference Champion 4.9% 7.8% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 17.8% 11.5% 20.6%
First Four1.1% 1.3% 1.0%
First Round3.5% 5.5% 2.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Away) - 31.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 49 - 711 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 242   @ Wofford L 73-78 31%    
  Nov 14, 2023 224   @ Queens L 79-85 29%    
  Nov 20, 2023 148   Iona L 75-83 24%    
  Nov 29, 2023 333   Morgan St. W 84-77 74%    
  Dec 02, 2023 280   @ North Florida L 79-82 40%    
  Dec 05, 2023 205   Western Carolina L 78-79 46%    
  Dec 08, 2023 352   N.C. A&T W 84-75 79%    
  Dec 16, 2023 73   @ Georgia L 69-86 7%    
  Dec 19, 2023 119   UNC Greensboro L 70-76 30%    
  Dec 22, 2023 269   Canisius W 79-76 59%    
  Dec 30, 2023 215   Bellarmine L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 03, 2024 182   @ Radford L 69-78 23%    
  Jan 06, 2024 195   Gardner-Webb L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 10, 2024 170   UNC Asheville L 76-79 39%    
  Jan 17, 2024 322   @ Presbyterian L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 20, 2024 328   Charleston Southern W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 24, 2024 273   @ South Carolina Upstate L 76-79 39%    
  Jan 27, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 75-83 24%    
  Jan 31, 2024 213   Longwood L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 03, 2024 322   Presbyterian W 75-69 68%    
  Feb 07, 2024 170   @ UNC Asheville L 73-82 22%    
  Feb 10, 2024 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 14, 2024 273   South Carolina Upstate W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 17, 2024 182   Radford L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 24, 2024 328   @ Charleston Southern W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 28, 2024 189   Winthrop L 78-80 42%    
  Mar 02, 2024 213   @ Longwood L 71-78 29%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.9 4.3 1.3 0.1 10.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.8 5.3 1.5 0.1 13.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.6 5.7 1.4 0.1 14.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.9 5.0 1.0 0.1 15.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.4 5.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.6 1.9 3.6 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 11.4 9th
Total 0.6 2.0 4.7 7.1 9.9 12.0 12.8 12.4 11.3 9.0 7.2 5.0 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 94.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1
13-3 76.8% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
12-4 45.5% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 17.3% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 61.2% 55.4% 5.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9%
15-1 0.2% 45.4% 42.2% 3.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.6%
14-2 0.8% 38.9% 38.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.7% 26.7% 26.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.3
12-4 3.1% 18.4% 18.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.6
11-5 5.0% 12.7% 12.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.3
10-6 7.2% 8.6% 8.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 6.6
9-7 9.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.6
8-8 11.3% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.0
7-9 12.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.2
6-10 12.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.7
5-11 12.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.9
4-12 9.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.9
3-13 7.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.1
2-14 4.7% 4.7
1-15 2.0% 2.0
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 96.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%