Preseason Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#170
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#131
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#178
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#165
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.9% 34.3% 21.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.8 12.9 14.0
.500 or above 70.6% 89.1% 68.2%
.500 or above in Conference 82.6% 91.1% 81.5%
Conference Champion 28.3% 41.9% 26.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.6% 2.6%
First Four2.0% 1.0% 2.1%
First Round22.0% 33.7% 20.5%
Second Round2.7% 5.5% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan (Away) - 11.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 412 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 48   @ Michigan L 66-79 12%    
  Nov 11, 2023 140   UNC Wilmington W 69-68 54%    
  Nov 24, 2023 184   Lipscomb W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 25, 2023 242   Wofford W 73-69 66%    
  Nov 26, 2023 172   Western Kentucky W 72-71 50%    
  Dec 05, 2023 204   @ Kennesaw St. L 72-73 47%    
  Dec 09, 2023 205   @ Western Carolina L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 13, 2023 23   Auburn L 66-79 13%    
  Dec 18, 2023 345   South Carolina St. W 86-71 90%    
  Dec 21, 2023 153   Appalachian St. L 67-68 47%    
  Dec 23, 2023 204   Kennesaw St. W 75-70 66%    
  Dec 29, 2023 77   @ UAB L 71-81 20%    
  Jan 03, 2024 273   South Carolina Upstate W 76-67 78%    
  Jan 06, 2024 322   @ Presbyterian W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 10, 2024 278   @ High Point W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 13, 2024 213   Longwood W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 17, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 24, 2024 182   Radford W 70-66 62%    
  Jan 27, 2024 328   @ Charleston Southern W 75-68 71%    
  Jan 31, 2024 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 03, 2024 189   Winthrop W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 07, 2024 278   High Point W 82-73 78%    
  Feb 10, 2024 273   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 14, 2024 322   Presbyterian W 73-61 84%    
  Feb 17, 2024 328   Charleston Southern W 78-65 85%    
  Feb 21, 2024 213   @ Longwood L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 24, 2024 195   Gardner-Webb W 70-66 64%    
  Mar 02, 2024 182   @ Radford L 67-69 43%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.7 7.9 7.0 4.1 1.3 28.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.8 6.0 2.5 0.4 19.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.4 3.8 0.9 0.0 15.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.5 2.6 0.3 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.2 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.9 1.1 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.0 4.6 6.9 9.3 11.5 13.0 13.0 12.6 10.4 7.4 4.1 1.3 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
15-1 100.0% 4.1    4.0 0.1
14-2 94.7% 7.0    6.0 0.9 0.0
13-3 75.5% 7.9    5.2 2.5 0.2
12-4 44.8% 5.7    2.5 2.4 0.7 0.0
11-5 15.6% 2.0    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 28.3% 28.3 19.5 6.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.3% 79.5% 77.9% 1.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 7.3%
15-1 4.1% 66.0% 65.3% 0.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.4 1.9%
14-2 7.4% 53.0% 52.8% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.5 0.3%
13-3 10.4% 40.4% 40.4% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.1 6.2 0.1%
12-4 12.6% 30.8% 30.8% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.2 8.7
11-5 13.0% 22.3% 22.3% 14.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.5 10.1
10-6 13.0% 15.0% 15.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 11.1
9-7 11.5% 10.6% 10.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 10.3
8-8 9.3% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 8.7
7-9 6.9% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 6.5
6-10 4.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
5-11 3.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 2.9
4-12 1.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-13 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 22.9% 22.9% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.9 3.0 5.1 5.7 4.6 3.2 77.1 0.1%