Preseason Rankings
Charleston Southern
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#328
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.0#267
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#278
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#348
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.6
.500 or above 10.9% 17.3% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 20.6% 27.0% 14.2%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 35.0% 28.1% 41.8%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 49.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 47 - 88 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 280   North Florida L 73-74 50%    
  Nov 17, 2023 61   @ North Carolina St. L 63-85 2%    
  Nov 20, 2023 349   @ Bethune-Cookman L 72-73 49%    
  Nov 24, 2023 64   @ Wake Forest L 64-85 3%    
  Nov 28, 2023 320   @ The Citadel L 69-73 37%    
  Dec 02, 2023 345   South Carolina St. W 79-74 67%    
  Dec 13, 2023 223   North Alabama L 71-74 38%    
  Dec 16, 2023 89   @ South Carolina L 58-76 6%    
  Dec 19, 2023 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-78 6%    
  Dec 29, 2023 16   @ North Carolina L 60-87 1%    
  Jan 03, 2024 322   Presbyterian W 67-65 59%    
  Jan 06, 2024 213   Longwood L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 10, 2024 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-73 18%    
  Jan 13, 2024 273   South Carolina Upstate L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 20, 2024 278   @ High Point L 73-79 30%    
  Jan 24, 2024 189   Winthrop L 70-76 32%    
  Jan 27, 2024 170   UNC Asheville L 68-75 29%    
  Jan 31, 2024 182   @ Radford L 61-73 16%    
  Feb 03, 2024 213   Longwood L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 07, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 67-79 17%    
  Feb 14, 2024 195   Gardner-Webb L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 17, 2024 170   @ UNC Asheville L 65-78 15%    
  Feb 21, 2024 273   @ South Carolina Upstate L 67-74 30%    
  Feb 24, 2024 278   High Point L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 28, 2024 182   Radford L 64-70 31%    
  Mar 02, 2024 322   @ Presbyterian L 64-68 39%    
Projected Record 8 - 18 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.6 0.6 0.1 6.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.7 3.2 0.7 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.4 0.9 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.2 4.8 1.0 0.0 15.9 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 5.9 7.6 4.4 0.9 0.0 21.0 8th
9th 2.2 5.7 7.9 5.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 25.1 9th
Total 2.2 5.9 9.9 12.5 13.9 13.2 12.1 10.0 7.6 5.3 3.5 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 92.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 75.2% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 49.5% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 17.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 30.8% 30.8% 13.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 38.1% 37.3% 0.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4%
14-2 0.2% 34.7% 34.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.5% 23.1% 23.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 1.1% 13.7% 13.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
11-5 2.2% 9.0% 9.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.0
10-6 3.5% 6.2% 6.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.3
9-7 5.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.1
8-8 7.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.4
7-9 10.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.9
6-10 12.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.0
5-11 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
4-12 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
3-13 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.5
2-14 9.9% 9.9
1-15 5.9% 5.9
0-16 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%