IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.7	#345
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.5	#17
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#298

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.7	#359

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.0%	9.2%	3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.6	15.9

.500 or above	7.8%	24.9%	6.7%
.500 or above in Conference	42.0%	61.3%	40.8%
Conference Champion	7.1%	15.0%	6.6%
Last Place in Conference	19.8%	8.7%	20.5%

First Four	2.9%	5.0%	2.7%
First Round	2.2%	6.3%	2.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 5	1 - 10
Quad 4	8 - 10	9 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2023	145	@ South Florida	L	70-86	6%
Nov 13, 2023	280	North Florida	L	80-82	41%
Nov 17, 2023	165	@ Samford	L	72-87	8%
Nov 20, 2023	233	@ Tulsa	L	73-84	16%
Nov 22, 2023	52	@ Missouri	L	70-94	2%
Nov 25, 2023	143	@ Missouri St.	L	62-78	7%
Nov 28, 2023	104	@ Furman	L	71-90	5%
Dec 02, 2023	328	@ Charleston Southern	L	74-79	33%
Dec 09, 2023	349	Bethune-Cookman	W	81-77	63%
Dec 11, 2023	246	Jacksonville	L	65-69	36%
Dec 16, 2023	69	@ Pittsburgh	L	67-89	3%
Dec 18, 2023	170	@ UNC Asheville	L	71-86	10%
Dec 29, 2023	67	@ Nebraska	L	65-88	3%
Dec 31, 2023	59	@ Oklahoma St.	L	63-87	2%
Jan 06, 2024	248	Norfolk St.	L	74-78	36%
Jan 08, 2024	247	Howard	L	79-83	37%
Jan 20, 2024	306	NC Central	L	76-77	47%
Jan 27, 2024	355	@ Delaware St.	L	76-77	45%
Jan 29, 2024	342	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	L	74-77	39%
Feb 03, 2024	333	Morgan St.	W	82-80	56%
Feb 05, 2024	357	Coppin St.	W	86-81	66%
Feb 10, 2024	324	Chicago St.	W	76-75	52%
Feb 17, 2024	248	@ Norfolk St.	L	71-81	20%
Feb 19, 2024	247	@ Howard	L	76-86	20%
Feb 24, 2024	355	Delaware St.	W	79-74	64%
Feb 26, 2024	342	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	77-74	59%
Mar 02, 2024	333	@ Morgan St.	L	79-83	37%
Mar 04, 2024	357	@ Coppin St.	L	83-84	47%
Mar 07, 2024	306	@ NC Central	L	73-80	29%
Projected Record						9 - 20	6 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.1	0.8	1.9	2.3	1.4	0.5	0.1		7.1	1st
2nd								0.2	1.9	4.1	2.9	0.8	0.1				10.0	2nd
3rd						0.0	0.2	2.8	5.6	2.9	0.5	0.0					12.1	3rd
4th						0.3	3.7	7.0	2.7	0.2	0.0						14.0	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	4.2	7.2	2.9	0.2								14.9	5th
6th			0.0	0.8	4.6	7.1	2.5	0.2	0.0								15.2	6th
7th		0.1	1.3	4.9	5.9	2.0	0.1										14.3	7th
8th	0.8	2.7	4.2	3.5	1.1	0.1											12.3	8th

Total	0.8	2.8	5.6	9.2	12.1	13.7	13.8	13.0	10.6	8.0	5.3	3.1	1.5	0.5	0.1			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
13-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
12-2	93.8%	1.4		1.2	0.2
11-3	74.4%	2.3		1.4	0.8	0.1
10-4	35.9%	1.9		0.7	0.9	0.3	0.0
9-5	9.9%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
8-6	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	7.1%	7.1		4.0	2.2	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.1%		59.3%	59.3%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-1	0.5%		61.3%	61.3%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2
12-2	1.5%		36.1%	36.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0
11-3	3.1%		27.7%	27.7%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	2.2
10-4	5.3%		13.4%	13.4%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	4.6
9-5	8.0%		7.9%	7.9%		16.0																0.0	0.6	7.4
8-6	10.6%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.4	10.1
7-7	13.0%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.3	12.7
6-8	13.8%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	13.7
5-9	13.7%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.6
4-10	12.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
3-11	9.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
2-12	5.6%																							5.6
1-13	2.8%																							2.8
0-14	0.8%																							0.8

Total	100%		4.0%	4.0%	0.0%	15.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	3.4	96.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%