Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#273
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.9#154
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#279
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#258
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 9.2% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 23.5% 51.1% 21.1%
.500 or above in Conference 40.3% 59.9% 38.6%
Conference Champion 5.0% 9.9% 4.5%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 7.3% 17.4%
First Four1.4% 1.1% 1.4%
First Round3.5% 8.8% 3.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 8.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 10
Quad 47 - 610 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 89   @ South Carolina L 60-75 8%    
  Nov 10, 2023 87   @ Vanderbilt L 64-79 8%    
  Nov 15, 2023 146   @ East Carolina L 65-76 17%    
  Nov 18, 2023 113   @ Minnesota L 62-75 12%    
  Nov 21, 2023 234   @ Ball St. L 70-75 32%    
  Nov 29, 2023 270   @ Coastal Carolina L 72-75 38%    
  Dec 02, 2023 306   @ NC Central L 69-70 46%    
  Dec 09, 2023 204   Kennesaw St. L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 16, 2023 205   Western Carolina L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 21, 2023 149   @ Davidson L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 03, 2024 170   @ UNC Asheville L 67-76 22%    
  Jan 06, 2024 189   Winthrop L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 13, 2024 328   @ Charleston Southern W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 17, 2024 213   Longwood L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 20, 2024 182   @ Radford L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 24, 2024 278   High Point W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 27, 2024 195   @ Gardner-Webb L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 31, 2024 322   @ Presbyterian L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 03, 2024 182   Radford L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 07, 2024 213   @ Longwood L 65-72 29%    
  Feb 10, 2024 170   UNC Asheville L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 14, 2024 278   @ High Point L 76-79 41%    
  Feb 17, 2024 195   Gardner-Webb L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 21, 2024 328   Charleston Southern W 74-67 70%    
  Feb 24, 2024 189   @ Winthrop L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 28, 2024 322   Presbyterian W 70-64 69%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.8 4.5 1.5 0.1 10.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.9 5.4 1.7 0.1 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.6 5.4 1.4 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.8 4.9 1.2 0.1 14.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.2 3.7 0.8 0.0 13.9 8th
9th 0.5 1.8 3.3 3.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.6 9th
Total 0.5 1.9 4.1 6.9 9.3 11.7 12.7 12.5 11.5 9.5 7.8 5.3 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
14-2 94.7% 0.7    0.6 0.1
13-3 81.8% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.1
12-4 42.1% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 16.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 58.3% 52.8% 5.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8%
15-1 0.3% 47.5% 47.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 0.7% 36.1% 36.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.9% 27.4% 27.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-4 3.3% 18.5% 18.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.7
11-5 5.3% 12.7% 12.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 4.6
10-6 7.8% 7.5% 7.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.2
9-7 9.5% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.0
8-8 11.5% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.1
7-9 12.5% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 12.3
6-10 12.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.5
5-11 11.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.6
4-12 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-13 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
2-14 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
1-15 1.9% 1.9
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.9 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%