Preseason Rankings
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#270
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.9#134
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#301
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.7% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.2 14.9
.500 or above 22.7% 40.9% 17.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.1% 33.5% 18.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.6% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 17.0% 29.6%
First Four0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round1.2% 2.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Home) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 47 - 59 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2023 95   Wichita St. L 67-75 24%    
  Nov 26, 2023 306   NC Central W 74-69 67%    
  Nov 29, 2023 273   South Carolina Upstate W 75-72 62%    
  Dec 02, 2023 189   Winthrop L 74-76 43%    
  Dec 09, 2023 242   Wofford W 73-72 55%    
  Dec 18, 2023 80   @ College of Charleston L 70-86 9%    
  Dec 21, 2023 352   N.C. A&T W 80-70 79%    
  Dec 30, 2023 218   Troy L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 04, 2024 193   @ Texas St. L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 06, 2024 176   @ Louisiana L 70-79 23%    
  Jan 11, 2024 153   Appalachian St. L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 13, 2024 180   Old Dominion L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 18, 2024 229   @ Georgia Southern L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 20, 2024 153   @ Appalachian St. L 64-74 20%    
  Jan 24, 2024 152   Southern Miss L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 27, 2024 206   Georgia St. L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 01, 2024 121   @ James Madison L 72-84 17%    
  Feb 03, 2024 135   @ Marshall L 74-85 18%    
  Feb 07, 2024 287   @ Louisiana Monroe L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 15, 2024 229   Georgia Southern W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 17, 2024 135   Marshall L 77-82 34%    
  Feb 21, 2024 206   @ Georgia St. L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 24, 2024 180   @ Old Dominion L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 28, 2024 198   Arkansas St. L 67-69 45%    
  Mar 01, 2024 121   James Madison L 75-81 32%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.9 0.3 0.0 4.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 3.5 1.6 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.0 0.3 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.1 1.8 0.1 10.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.9 3.4 5.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.4 12th
13th 0.2 1.7 4.3 5.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 15.2 13th
14th 1.5 3.7 5.6 4.6 2.1 0.4 0.0 17.8 14th
Total 1.5 4.0 7.3 9.8 11.6 11.7 12.3 10.4 9.2 7.2 5.4 3.9 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 79.4% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 49.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 14.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 34.6% 34.6% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.6%
17-1 0.1% 34.7% 21.8% 12.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.5%
16-2 0.1% 21.1% 21.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 19.0% 19.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 10.0% 10.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 1.6% 8.8% 8.8% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-6 2.6% 8.2% 8.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4
11-7 3.9% 4.7% 4.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
10-8 5.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.2
9-9 7.2% 2.0% 2.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.0
8-10 9.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.1
7-11 10.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.3
6-12 12.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.3
5-13 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
4-14 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
3-15 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
2-16 7.3% 7.3
1-17 4.0% 4.0
0-18 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%