Preseason Rankings
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#229
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.9#208
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#277
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#177
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 5.6% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 28.7% 52.6% 24.6%
.500 or above in Conference 38.0% 54.5% 35.2%
Conference Champion 3.3% 6.9% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 13.5% 6.3% 14.7%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 0.8%
First Round2.9% 5.2% 2.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Away) - 14.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 31 - 6
Quad 33 - 74 - 13
Quad 48 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 98   @ Georgia Tech L 62-73 15%    
  Nov 11, 2023 315   @ Eastern Michigan W 73-71 58%    
  Nov 14, 2023 246   @ Jacksonville L 59-61 43%    
  Nov 19, 2023 204   Kennesaw St. L 69-71 45%    
  Nov 20, 2023 146   @ East Carolina L 64-72 24%    
  Nov 21, 2023 228   Northeastern L 66-67 50%    
  Nov 28, 2023 5   @ Michigan St. L 55-78 2%    
  Dec 02, 2023 246   Jacksonville W 62-58 64%    
  Dec 09, 2023 280   @ North Florida L 71-72 50%    
  Dec 12, 2023 7   @ Tennessee L 53-76 3%    
  Dec 16, 2023 140   UNC Wilmington L 65-67 42%    
  Dec 19, 2023 159   Florida Gulf Coast L 67-71 37%    
  Dec 30, 2023 152   Southern Miss L 68-70 45%    
  Jan 04, 2024 198   @ Arkansas St. L 62-67 34%    
  Jan 06, 2024 287   @ Louisiana Monroe W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 10, 2024 135   @ Marshall L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 13, 2024 206   @ Georgia St. L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 18, 2024 270   Coastal Carolina W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 20, 2024 206   Georgia St. W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 25, 2024 153   @ Appalachian St. L 61-69 27%    
  Jan 27, 2024 180   @ Old Dominion L 62-68 31%    
  Feb 01, 2024 218   Troy W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 03, 2024 153   Appalachian St. L 64-66 45%    
  Feb 07, 2024 177   @ South Alabama L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 15, 2024 270   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 17, 2024 121   @ James Madison L 68-77 23%    
  Feb 22, 2024 193   Texas St. W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 24, 2024 121   James Madison L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 28, 2024 135   Marshall L 74-76 42%    
  Mar 01, 2024 180   Old Dominion W 65-64 50%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 3.1 0.6 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 3.9 1.2 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.4 0.2 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.1 1.2 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.4 1.9 0.1 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 2.5 3.4 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.5 13th
14th 0.4 1.4 2.3 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.3 14th
Total 0.4 1.5 3.1 5.7 7.6 9.8 11.3 11.5 11.1 10.3 8.5 6.9 5.1 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 75.8% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 48.4% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 86.8% 49.1% 37.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.1%
17-1 0.2% 39.8% 31.2% 8.6% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.6%
16-2 0.5% 23.0% 21.3% 1.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2%
15-3 1.2% 23.4% 23.0% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.5%
14-4 2.1% 16.0% 16.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-5 3.3% 12.1% 12.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
12-6 5.1% 8.6% 8.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.6
11-7 6.9% 6.2% 6.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.4
10-8 8.5% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.1
9-9 10.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.1
8-10 11.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
7-11 11.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.4
6-12 11.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.2
5-13 9.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.7
4-14 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
3-15 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 96.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%