Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#113
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.7#274
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#130
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 7.8% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 6.4% 6.6% 1.4%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 10.7
.500 or above 37.1% 38.0% 10.2%
.500 or above in Conference 11.7% 12.0% 3.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 37.6% 36.8% 59.9%
First Four1.7% 1.7% 0.8%
First Round6.7% 6.9% 1.9%
Second Round3.0% 3.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 96.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 54 - 14
Quad 33 - 27 - 16
Quad 48 - 114 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 349   Bethune-Cookman W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 10, 2023 249   Texas San Antonio W 77-66 85%    
  Nov 16, 2023 52   Missouri L 71-74 40%    
  Nov 18, 2023 273   South Carolina Upstate W 75-62 88%    
  Nov 18, 2023 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-61 95%    
  Nov 26, 2023 92   San Francisco L 69-71 44%    
  Nov 30, 2023 299   New Orleans W 82-68 90%    
  Dec 03, 2023 38   @ Ohio St. L 64-74 18%    
  Dec 06, 2023 67   Nebraska L 68-69 45%    
  Dec 09, 2023 159   Florida Gulf Coast W 72-66 70%    
  Dec 12, 2023 347   IUPUI W 77-58 95%    
  Dec 21, 2023 234   Ball St. W 75-64 81%    
  Dec 29, 2023 264   Maine W 72-60 85%    
  Jan 04, 2024 48   @ Michigan L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 07, 2024 29   Maryland L 62-68 32%    
  Jan 12, 2024 39   @ Indiana L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 15, 2024 42   Iowa L 73-77 37%    
  Jan 18, 2024 5   @ Michigan St. L 58-74 9%    
  Jan 23, 2024 28   Wisconsin L 60-66 31%    
  Jan 27, 2024 76   @ Penn St. L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 03, 2024 47   Northwestern L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 06, 2024 5   Michigan St. L 61-71 20%    
  Feb 11, 2024 42   @ Iowa L 70-80 21%    
  Feb 15, 2024 2   @ Purdue L 57-75 7%    
  Feb 18, 2024 51   Rutgers L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 22, 2024 38   Ohio St. L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 25, 2024 67   @ Nebraska L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 28, 2024 21   @ Illinois L 65-77 16%    
  Mar 02, 2024 76   Penn St. L 66-67 49%    
  Mar 06, 2024 39   Indiana L 67-71 36%    
  Mar 09, 2024 47   @ Northwestern L 61-70 22%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 2.3 0.9 0.1 4.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 7.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.0 3.4 0.8 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.7 4.6 1.3 0.1 13.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.9 6.0 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 17.7 13th
14th 2.2 5.4 7.6 7.3 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 28.0 14th
Total 2.2 5.5 8.7 11.6 12.6 12.2 11.7 9.8 8.0 6.0 4.3 3.1 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 71.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 41.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 16.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.1% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.3% 98.3% 10.3% 88.0% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
14-6 0.6% 97.9% 10.9% 87.0% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6%
13-7 1.2% 88.8% 7.1% 81.7% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 87.9%
12-8 1.9% 73.9% 3.8% 70.2% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 72.9%
11-9 3.1% 48.8% 3.7% 45.1% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.6 46.8%
10-10 4.3% 29.5% 2.9% 26.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 27.4%
9-11 6.0% 9.9% 2.3% 7.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.4 7.8%
8-12 8.0% 2.4% 1.8% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.8 0.6%
7-13 9.8% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.0%
6-14 11.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.6
5-15 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1
4-16 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.6
3-17 11.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.5
2-18 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
1-19 5.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.5
0-20 2.2% 2.2
Total 100% 7.6% 1.2% 6.4% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 92.4 6.4%