Preseason Rankings
Harvard
Ivy League
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#219
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.6#251
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#287
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#140
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 7.2% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 40.2% 60.9% 31.1%
.500 or above in Conference 43.0% 54.7% 37.9%
Conference Champion 5.1% 8.0% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 9.8% 19.7%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 0.8%
First Round4.3% 6.9% 3.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Away) - 30.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 11
Quad 48 - 412 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 178   @ Rice L 70-75 31%    
  Nov 14, 2023 228   Northeastern W 67-63 63%    
  Nov 17, 2023 192   @ Massachusetts L 68-73 34%    
  Nov 18, 2023 103   @ Boston College L 61-71 19%    
  Nov 22, 2023 110   @ Colgate L 65-74 20%    
  Nov 26, 2023 39   Indiana L 61-75 11%    
  Nov 29, 2023 261   American W 65-59 69%    
  Dec 02, 2023 96   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-71 18%    
  Dec 08, 2023 300   Army W 72-64 75%    
  Dec 21, 2023 327   Holy Cross W 73-63 80%    
  Dec 30, 2023 148   Iona L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 02, 2024 318   Albany W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 06, 2024 130   @ Princeton L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 15, 2024 185   Brown W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 20, 2024 203   @ Penn L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 27, 2024 68   Yale L 62-70 27%    
  Feb 02, 2024 303   Columbia W 74-66 74%    
  Feb 03, 2024 157   Cornell L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 10, 2024 243   Dartmouth W 71-66 65%    
  Feb 16, 2024 157   @ Cornell L 71-77 30%    
  Feb 17, 2024 303   @ Columbia W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 23, 2024 130   Princeton L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 24, 2024 203   Penn W 69-67 57%    
  Mar 01, 2024 185   @ Brown L 65-70 34%    
  Mar 02, 2024 68   @ Yale L 59-73 13%    
  Mar 09, 2024 243   @ Dartmouth L 68-69 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 3.7 3.3 1.4 0.2 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 5.5 3.9 0.9 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.3 3.4 7.0 3.9 0.5 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.3 7.7 3.4 0.3 16.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.8 7.0 3.0 0.2 15.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.0 5.8 1.9 0.1 14.7 7th
8th 0.7 2.4 3.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 10.2 8th
Total 0.7 2.5 5.5 8.5 11.8 13.6 14.4 13.2 11.0 8.4 5.3 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-2 87.6% 1.3    1.0 0.3 0.0
11-3 56.0% 1.8    0.9 0.7 0.1
10-4 20.9% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
9-5 4.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 66.8% 54.3% 12.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.4%
13-1 0.4% 42.5% 38.4% 4.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.6%
12-2 1.5% 27.1% 26.2% 0.9% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1.3%
11-3 3.2% 18.5% 18.3% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.6 0.2%
10-4 5.3% 14.4% 14.4% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.5
9-5 8.4% 8.9% 8.9% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 7.7
8-6 11.0% 6.5% 6.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 10.3
7-7 13.2% 4.3% 4.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 12.6
6-8 14.4% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 14.0
5-9 13.6% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.4
4-10 11.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.7
3-11 8.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.4
2-12 5.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.5
1-13 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
0-14 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 4.7% 4.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 95.3 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%