Preseason Rankings
Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#230
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#292
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#221
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 23.3% 10.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.6 14.6
.500 or above 46.8% 80.6% 46.2%
.500 or above in Conference 65.5% 84.9% 65.2%
Conference Champion 13.0% 30.1% 12.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 2.6% 5.8%
First Four2.1% 1.6% 2.1%
First Round9.7% 22.3% 9.5%
Second Round0.7% 3.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 412 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 9   @ Marquette L 61-83 2%    
  Nov 13, 2023 67   @ Nebraska L 61-76 9%    
  Nov 17, 2023 94   @ Duquesne L 65-77 14%    
  Nov 20, 2023 255   @ Stony Brook L 65-66 45%    
  Nov 28, 2023 29   @ Maryland L 56-75 5%    
  Dec 01, 2023 266   @ Siena L 67-68 47%    
  Dec 03, 2023 257   Fairfield W 68-63 66%    
  Dec 08, 2023 350   Stonehill W 74-62 85%    
  Dec 16, 2023 311   @ Monmouth W 70-68 55%    
  Dec 20, 2023 194   @ Delaware L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 23, 2023 203   Penn W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 29, 2023 76   @ Penn St. L 60-73 12%    
  Jan 05, 2024 232   @ Quinnipiac L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 07, 2024 269   Canisius W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 12, 2024 325   Manhattan W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 14, 2024 272   @ Marist L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 19, 2024 258   Niagara W 66-61 64%    
  Jan 25, 2024 279   @ St. Peter's L 61-62 49%    
  Jan 27, 2024 250   @ Mount St. Mary's L 64-66 44%    
  Feb 02, 2024 266   Siena W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 04, 2024 148   @ Iona L 67-75 26%    
  Feb 08, 2024 257   @ Fairfield L 65-66 45%    
  Feb 10, 2024 272   Marist W 69-63 67%    
  Feb 16, 2024 250   Mount St. Mary's W 67-63 63%    
  Feb 18, 2024 325   @ Manhattan W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 23, 2024 148   Iona L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 25, 2024 232   Quinnipiac W 73-70 60%    
  Mar 01, 2024 258   @ Niagara L 63-64 45%    
  Mar 03, 2024 269   @ Canisius L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 07, 2024 279   St. Peter's W 65-59 68%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.6 3.1 2.7 1.7 0.8 0.2 13.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.1 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.6 4.4 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 4.0 4.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.3 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.9 1.1 0.1 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 2.3 0.9 0.1 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.2 4.6 6.2 7.7 9.0 9.9 10.4 10.0 9.6 8.2 6.5 4.9 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 96.8% 1.7    1.6 0.1
17-3 84.6% 2.7    2.2 0.6 0.0
16-4 64.4% 3.1    2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0
15-5 40.5% 2.6    1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0
14-6 17.1% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.0% 13.0 8.5 3.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 67.8% 67.5% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9%
19-1 0.8% 64.2% 63.1% 1.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 3.1%
18-2 1.7% 49.8% 49.8% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.1%
17-3 3.2% 35.3% 35.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.1
16-4 4.9% 31.3% 31.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 3.3
15-5 6.5% 23.7% 23.7% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 5.0
14-6 8.2% 17.3% 17.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 6.8
13-7 9.6% 13.0% 13.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 8.4
12-8 10.0% 9.2% 9.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 9.1
11-9 10.4% 5.2% 5.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.9
10-10 9.9% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4 9.4
9-11 9.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.8
8-12 7.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.7
7-13 6.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.2
6-14 4.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-15 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.7% 10.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.3 89.3 0.0%