Preseason Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#298
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace58.5#354
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#346
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#197
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.8% 38.9% 22.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 63.4% 85.7% 59.4%
.500 or above in Conference 82.6% 91.9% 81.0%
Conference Champion 28.8% 42.1% 26.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.7% 2.3%
First Four15.1% 18.5% 14.5%
First Round16.3% 29.0% 14.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 15.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 21 - 5
Quad 413 - 814 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 162   @ Fordham L 57-68 15%    
  Nov 14, 2023 190   @ Rhode Island L 57-66 20%    
  Nov 18, 2023 66   @ Seton Hall L 51-70 5%    
  Nov 25, 2023 339   NJIT W 65-58 72%    
  Nov 28, 2023 46   @ Providence L 53-73 4%    
  Dec 02, 2023 255   @ Stony Brook L 57-62 32%    
  Dec 06, 2023 357   @ Coppin St. W 68-65 62%    
  Dec 10, 2023 313   Boston University W 62-58 64%    
  Dec 17, 2023 257   @ Fairfield L 57-62 33%    
  Dec 30, 2023 325   @ Manhattan L 61-62 47%    
  Jan 04, 2024 359   @ LIU Brooklyn W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 06, 2024 358   St. Francis (PA) W 69-60 79%    
  Jan 15, 2024 350   Stonehill W 66-58 75%    
  Jan 19, 2024 330   @ Merrimack L 56-57 48%    
  Jan 21, 2024 301   @ Sacred Heart L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 25, 2024 330   Merrimack W 59-54 67%    
  Jan 27, 2024 335   @ Central Connecticut St. W 60-59 51%    
  Feb 01, 2024 362   Le Moyne W 70-55 90%    
  Feb 03, 2024 350   @ Stonehill W 63-61 57%    
  Feb 08, 2024 314   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 15, 2024 358   @ St. Francis (PA) W 66-63 61%    
  Feb 17, 2024 301   Sacred Heart W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 22, 2024 335   Central Connecticut St. W 63-57 70%    
  Feb 24, 2024 359   LIU Brooklyn W 72-62 80%    
  Feb 29, 2024 362   @ Le Moyne W 67-58 78%    
  Mar 02, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-65 63%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.7 8.3 7.0 4.0 1.4 28.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.9 6.3 2.6 0.4 19.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.5 3.9 0.8 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.2 1.7 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.0 1.1 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 3.0 4.7 6.9 8.8 11.4 12.6 13.3 12.8 10.9 7.4 4.0 1.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
15-1 100.0% 4.0    3.9 0.1
14-2 94.0% 7.0    6.0 0.9 0.0
13-3 76.1% 8.3    5.5 2.6 0.2 0.0
12-4 44.9% 5.7    2.4 2.7 0.6 0.0
11-5 15.7% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
10-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 28.8% 28.8 19.7 7.3 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 1.4% 86.7% 86.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2
15-1 4.0% 77.1% 77.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 0.9
14-2 7.4% 62.1% 62.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.4 2.8
13-3 10.9% 48.1% 48.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 4.6 5.7
12-4 12.8% 35.2% 35.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 4.3 8.3
11-5 13.3% 23.3% 23.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 10.2
10-6 12.6% 13.4% 13.4% 16.0 0.0 1.7 10.9
9-7 11.4% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.9 10.5
8-8 8.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.3 8.5
7-9 6.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.8
6-10 4.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-11 3.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.0
4-12 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-13 0.8% 0.8
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 24.8% 24.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 20.1 75.2 0.0%