IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.7	#335
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.5	#321
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.7	#330

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#324

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.4%	18.3%	8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	28.9%	56.3%	25.4%
.500 or above in Conference	62.3%	78.3%	60.3%
Conference Champion	12.5%	22.2%	11.2%
Last Place in Conference	6.4%	2.2%	7.0%

First Four	7.0%	11.4%	6.4%
First Round	5.1%	11.4%	4.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 10	11 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	190	@ Rhode Island	L	59-72	11%
Nov 10, 2023	232	@ Quinnipiac	L	65-75	17%
Nov 19, 2023	325	Manhattan	W	67-65	57%
Nov 22, 2023	192	@ Massachusetts	L	65-78	13%
Nov 29, 2023	300	@ Army	L	65-71	29%
Dec 02, 2023	327	Holy Cross	W	69-67	56%
Dec 05, 2023	103	@ Boston College	L	57-75	6%
Dec 09, 2023	264	@ Maine	L	61-69	24%
Dec 16, 2023	179	@ Umass Lowell	L	63-76	13%
Dec 19, 2023	228	Northeastern	L	63-67	36%
Dec 21, 2023	162	@ Fordham	L	60-74	11%
Jan 04, 2024	350	@ Stonehill	L	66-67	46%
Jan 13, 2024	358	@ St. Francis (PA)	W	69-68	50%
Jan 15, 2024	330	Merrimack	W	62-60	57%
Jan 19, 2024	362	Le Moyne	W	73-61	84%
Jan 21, 2024	359	@ LIU Brooklyn	W	73-72	53%
Jan 25, 2024	314	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	69-74	33%
Jan 27, 2024	298	Wagner	L	59-60	49%
Feb 01, 2024	358	St. Francis (PA)	W	72-66	70%
Feb 03, 2024	330	@ Merrimack	L	59-63	37%
Feb 08, 2024	301	Sacred Heart	L	70-71	49%
Feb 10, 2024	314	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	72-71	52%
Feb 15, 2024	362	@ Le Moyne	W	70-64	69%
Feb 22, 2024	298	@ Wagner	L	57-63	30%
Feb 24, 2024	301	@ Sacred Heart	L	68-74	30%
Feb 29, 2024	359	LIU Brooklyn	W	76-69	71%
Mar 02, 2024	350	Stonehill	W	69-64	66%
Projected Record						11 - 16	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	1.4	3.2	3.5	2.5	1.3	0.3		12.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	2.8	4.9	3.7	1.2	0.1				13.0	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	3.7	6.0	3.1	0.5	0.0					14.1	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	4.3	6.0	2.4	0.2	0.0						13.6	4th
5th						0.0	1.0	4.5	5.8	2.1	0.2								13.6	5th
6th					0.1	1.1	4.2	5.1	1.7	0.1									12.2	6th
7th				0.2	1.3	3.4	3.8	1.2	0.1										9.9	7th
8th		0.0	0.3	1.5	2.7	2.2	0.6	0.0											7.3	8th
9th	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.2	0.8	0.1	0.0												3.8	9th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.4	2.9	4.8	6.9	9.6	11.5	12.5	12.3	11.5	9.6	7.4	4.7	2.6	1.3	0.3			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-1	100.0%	1.3		1.2	0.0
14-2	95.5%	2.5		2.1	0.4	0.0
13-3	74.8%	3.5		2.4	1.1	0.1	0.0
12-4	43.5%	3.2		1.3	1.5	0.5	0.0
11-5	14.9%	1.4		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	12.5%	12.5		7.5	3.6	1.1	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.3%		71.4%	71.4%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
15-1	1.3%		65.8%	65.8%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.4
14-2	2.6%		49.4%	49.4%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	1.3
13-3	4.7%		38.6%	38.6%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.7	2.9
12-4	7.4%		25.2%	25.2%		16.0															0.0	0.1	1.8	5.6
11-5	9.6%		15.4%	15.4%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.5	8.1
10-6	11.5%		7.9%	7.9%		16.0																	0.9	10.6
9-7	12.3%		4.3%	4.3%		16.0																0.0	0.5	11.8
8-8	12.5%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.3	12.3
7-9	11.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	11.4
6-10	9.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.6
5-11	6.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.9
4-12	4.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.8
3-13	2.9%																							2.9
2-14	1.4%																							1.4
1-15	0.4%																							0.4
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.4%	9.4%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	8.5	90.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%