Preseason Rankings
Robert Morris
Horizon
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#285
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.7#244
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#312
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#230
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 7.6% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 28.0% 58.5% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 40.2% 62.8% 39.5%
Conference Champion 3.1% 8.4% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 3.7% 10.5%
First Four0.7% 1.3% 0.7%
First Round2.5% 7.2% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 410 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 43   @ Xavier L 63-83 3%    
  Nov 12, 2023 158   @ Towson L 60-70 17%    
  Nov 17, 2023 28   @ Wisconsin L 51-73 2%    
  Nov 24, 2023 246   Jacksonville W 60-59 54%    
  Nov 26, 2023 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-70 66%    
  Nov 29, 2023 183   @ Northern Kentucky L 58-67 21%    
  Dec 02, 2023 212   Youngstown St. L 71-72 45%    
  Dec 06, 2023 269   @ Canisius L 66-70 37%    
  Dec 11, 2023 194   Delaware L 67-69 41%    
  Dec 20, 2023 358   @ St. Francis (PA) W 72-68 63%    
  Dec 22, 2023 157   Cornell L 73-77 35%    
  Dec 29, 2023 217   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-77 28%    
  Dec 31, 2023 340   @ Green Bay W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 04, 2024 347   IUPUI W 72-63 76%    
  Jan 10, 2024 131   Wright St. L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 12, 2024 305   Purdue Fort Wayne W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 17, 2024 265   Detroit Mercy W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 20, 2024 347   @ IUPUI W 69-66 58%    
  Jan 28, 2024 187   @ Cleveland St. L 62-71 23%    
  Feb 01, 2024 256   @ Oakland L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 03, 2024 265   @ Detroit Mercy L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 08, 2024 340   Green Bay W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 10, 2024 217   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 14, 2024 212   @ Youngstown St. L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 17, 2024 131   @ Wright St. L 68-80 16%    
  Feb 22, 2024 256   Oakland W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 25, 2024 187   Cleveland St. L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 28, 2024 183   Northern Kentucky L 61-64 39%    
  Mar 02, 2024 305   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-71 43%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.7 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.6 1.6 0.2 9.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 4.1 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.6 4.4 1.5 0.1 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.7 3.8 1.2 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.4 2.9 0.9 0.1 12.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 3.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.4 11th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.6 5.5 7.3 9.2 10.0 10.8 10.9 10.1 8.6 6.9 5.5 3.8 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 95.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 87.1% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 57.0% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 30.8% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 8.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 47.2% 47.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 55.5% 55.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 29.3% 29.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 31.5% 31.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
16-4 1.3% 21.2% 21.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-5 2.6% 15.4% 15.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.2
14-6 3.8% 10.0% 10.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.4
13-7 5.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.1
12-8 6.9% 4.3% 4.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.6
11-9 8.6% 3.1% 3.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.3
10-10 10.1% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.9
9-11 10.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.7
8-12 10.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.7
7-13 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
6-14 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
5-15 7.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.3
4-16 5.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.5
3-17 3.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-18 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.7
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.2 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%