IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.6	#217
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.5	#18
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.2	#166

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.8	#260

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.9%	18.5%	9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	13.5	14.4

.500 or above	59.3%	83.1%	57.4%
.500 or above in Conference	71.0%	85.4%	69.9%
Conference Champion	11.9%	22.0%	11.1%
Last Place in Conference	2.6%	0.5%	2.8%

First Four	1.3%	0.9%	1.3%
First Round	9.3%	18.1%	8.7%
Second Round	0.8%	1.9%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 5	15 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2023	46	@ Providence	L	69-85	7%
Nov 14, 2023	33	@ Colorado	L	70-87	6%
Nov 20, 2023	207	Stetson	L	77-78	48%
Nov 25, 2023	152	Southern Miss	L	77-78	47%
Dec 02, 2023	340	@ Green Bay	W	78-72	68%
Dec 06, 2023	276	@ St. Thomas	W	78-77	52%
Dec 09, 2023	173	@ UC Davis	L	78-83	31%
Dec 13, 2023	213	Longwood	W	76-73	59%
Dec 22, 2023	197	Chattanooga	W	80-78	56%
Dec 29, 2023	285	Robert Morris	W	77-70	72%
Dec 31, 2023	131	Wright St.	L	83-85	43%
Jan 04, 2024	256	@ Oakland	L	79-80	49%
Jan 06, 2024	265	@ Detroit Mercy	W	80-79	50%
Jan 12, 2024	187	Cleveland St.	W	76-75	54%
Jan 18, 2024	183	@ Northern Kentucky	L	67-72	34%
Jan 20, 2024	131	@ Wright St.	L	80-88	25%
Jan 25, 2024	265	Detroit Mercy	W	83-77	69%
Jan 27, 2024	256	Oakland	W	83-77	68%
Feb 01, 2024	305	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	W	80-78	58%
Feb 04, 2024	347	IUPUI	W	83-70	85%
Feb 08, 2024	212	@ Youngstown St.	L	80-83	39%
Feb 10, 2024	285	@ Robert Morris	W	74-73	54%
Feb 14, 2024	187	@ Cleveland St.	L	73-78	34%
Feb 17, 2024	183	Northern Kentucky	W	70-69	53%
Feb 23, 2024	212	Youngstown St.	W	83-80	59%
Feb 25, 2024	305	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	83-75	75%
Feb 28, 2024	347	@ IUPUI	W	80-73	71%
Mar 02, 2024	340	Green Bay	W	81-69	82%
Projected Record						15 - 13	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.8	2.0	2.9	3.0	2.0	1.0	0.2		11.9	1st
2nd												0.1	0.4	1.8	3.9	4.1	2.4	0.7	0.1				13.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.6	2.7	5.0	3.8	1.5	0.2	0.0					13.7	3rd
4th										0.1	0.8	3.2	5.1	3.2	0.8	0.1							13.3	4th
5th									0.1	0.8	3.4	4.5	2.5	0.4	0.0								11.8	5th
6th								0.1	0.9	3.3	3.9	2.0	0.3	0.0									10.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.0	2.8	3.4	1.4	0.2											8.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.0	2.6	2.4	0.9	0.1												7.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.0	1.7	1.4	0.5	0.0													4.9	9th
10th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.2	0.7	0.2	0.0														3.1	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0															1.5	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.3	2.5	3.5	5.4	6.7	8.5	9.7	10.5	10.9	10.6	9.3	7.6	5.4	3.7	2.0	1.0	0.2			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
19-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
18-2	95.7%	2.0		1.7	0.2	0.0
17-3	80.2%	3.0		2.2	0.8	0.0
16-4	53.0%	2.9		1.6	1.0	0.2	0.0
15-5	25.9%	2.0		0.7	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0
14-6	8.5%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	11.9%	11.9		7.6	3.3	0.9	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.2%		74.7%	72.1%	2.7%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		9.5%
19-1	1.0%		58.7%	56.7%	1.9%	12.3								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.4		4.5%
18-2	2.0%		45.5%	45.3%	0.2%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0	1.1		0.4%
17-3	3.7%		36.0%	36.0%		13.5												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	2.4
16-4	5.4%		26.7%	26.7%		13.9													0.1	0.3	0.7	0.3	0.0	4.0
15-5	7.6%		19.0%	19.0%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.2	6.1
14-6	9.3%		13.8%	13.8%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	8.0
13-7	10.6%		10.1%	10.1%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	9.5
12-8	10.9%		6.8%	6.8%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	10.2
11-9	10.5%		3.8%	3.8%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	10.1
10-10	9.7%		2.9%	2.9%		15.9																0.0	0.3	9.4
9-11	8.5%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																0.0	0.1	8.4
8-12	6.7%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.6
7-13	5.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
6-14	3.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
5-15	2.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
4-16	1.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.3
3-17	0.6%																							0.6
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		9.9%	9.9%	0.0%	14.3								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7	2.7	2.5	2.2	90.1		0.0%