Preseason Rankings
Cleveland St.
Horizon
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#187
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#270
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#176
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#196
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.1% 22.8% 14.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.4 14.3
.500 or above 77.1% 91.2% 73.6%
.500 or above in Conference 82.1% 90.6% 80.0%
Conference Champion 19.5% 28.0% 17.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.5% 1.3%
First Four1.3% 0.7% 1.4%
First Round15.6% 22.5% 13.9%
Second Round1.6% 3.3% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 19.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 415 - 518 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 94   @ Duquesne L 67-76 20%    
  Nov 11, 2023 127   Ohio L 72-73 49%    
  Nov 15, 2023 269   Canisius W 74-66 77%    
  Nov 18, 2023 315   @ Eastern Michigan W 75-70 66%    
  Nov 22, 2023 239   East Tennessee St. W 70-64 71%    
  Nov 25, 2023 338   Alabama A&M W 75-62 88%    
  Nov 29, 2023 212   @ Youngstown St. L 73-74 45%    
  Dec 02, 2023 265   Detroit Mercy W 76-68 76%    
  Dec 05, 2023 26   @ St. Mary's L 55-71 8%    
  Dec 09, 2023 107   @ Kent St. L 65-73 24%    
  Dec 15, 2023 100   @ Bradley L 62-70 24%    
  Dec 21, 2023 319   Western Michigan W 74-63 83%    
  Dec 28, 2023 256   Oakland W 75-68 74%    
  Dec 31, 2023 347   @ IUPUI W 73-65 77%    
  Jan 04, 2024 131   @ Wright St. L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 07, 2024 183   Northern Kentucky W 65-62 59%    
  Jan 12, 2024 217   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 14, 2024 340   @ Green Bay W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 20, 2024 305   Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-66 80%    
  Jan 25, 2024 131   Wright St. L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 28, 2024 285   Robert Morris W 71-62 77%    
  Feb 01, 2024 265   @ Detroit Mercy W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 03, 2024 256   @ Oakland W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 07, 2024 305   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 14, 2024 217   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-73 66%    
  Feb 17, 2024 212   Youngstown St. W 76-71 65%    
  Feb 22, 2024 183   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 25, 2024 285   @ Robert Morris W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 28, 2024 340   Green Bay W 74-61 86%    
  Mar 02, 2024 347   IUPUI W 76-62 88%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 4.5 5.4 3.8 1.7 0.4 19.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 5.0 5.6 3.3 1.2 0.2 17.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.4 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.9 3.4 0.9 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.9 4.3 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.1 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.4 1.0 0.1 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 3.0 4.7 6.2 7.8 9.8 10.8 11.4 11.4 10.1 8.1 6.6 3.9 1.7 0.4 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
19-1 100.0% 1.7    1.7 0.0
18-2 95.6% 3.8    3.3 0.5 0.0
17-3 81.4% 5.4    4.0 1.3 0.1
16-4 55.5% 4.5    2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 26.2% 2.7    1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 7.9% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.5% 19.5 13.3 5.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.4% 70.6% 66.1% 4.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 13.4%
19-1 1.7% 63.8% 62.7% 1.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3.0%
18-2 3.9% 52.8% 52.8% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 0.1%
17-3 6.6% 40.6% 40.6% 13.4 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.9
16-4 8.1% 30.4% 30.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.1 5.6
15-5 10.1% 21.4% 21.4% 14.3 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 8.0
14-6 11.4% 16.3% 16.3% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.4 9.6
13-7 11.4% 11.4% 11.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 10.1
12-8 10.8% 9.9% 9.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 9.7
11-9 9.8% 5.9% 5.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.2
10-10 7.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.6
9-11 6.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.1
8-12 4.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.7
7-13 3.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.0
6-14 1.8% 1.8
5-15 1.1% 1.1
4-16 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.1% 16.1% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.3 4.3 3.6 2.7 83.9 0.0%