Preseason Rankings
Kent St.
Mid-American
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#107
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.1#151
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#134
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#98
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.4% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.2% 29.7% 19.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 2.2% 0.4%
Average Seed 12.3 12.0 13.0
.500 or above 86.2% 91.8% 75.3%
.500 or above in Conference 90.4% 92.8% 85.6%
Conference Champion 31.5% 35.7% 23.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.1%
First Round25.6% 29.1% 18.9%
Second Round6.1% 7.5% 3.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.5% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Home) - 66.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 36 - 7
Quad 411 - 217 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 121   James Madison W 77-73 66%    
  Nov 11, 2023 111   Fresno St. W 67-64 63%    
  Nov 17, 2023 312   Hampton W 79-67 87%    
  Nov 26, 2023 80   College of Charleston W 77-76 51%    
  Dec 05, 2023 151   @ South Dakota St. L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 09, 2023 187   Cleveland St. W 73-65 76%    
  Dec 21, 2023 35   @ Oregon L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 29, 2023 26   @ St. Mary's L 58-70 16%    
  Jan 02, 2024 234   Ball St. W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 06, 2024 315   @ Eastern Michigan W 79-69 79%    
  Jan 09, 2024 132   Toledo W 80-75 66%    
  Jan 13, 2024 323   @ Central Michigan W 75-65 81%    
  Jan 16, 2024 240   @ Northern Illinois W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 20, 2024 114   Akron W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 23, 2024 235   @ Bowling Green W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 27, 2024 127   Ohio W 76-71 65%    
  Jan 30, 2024 260   Miami (OH) W 78-66 85%    
  Feb 03, 2024 216   @ Buffalo W 79-75 62%    
  Feb 06, 2024 319   Western Michigan W 78-62 91%    
  Feb 17, 2024 240   Northern Illinois W 78-67 82%    
  Feb 20, 2024 127   @ Ohio L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 24, 2024 114   @ Akron L 67-70 42%    
  Feb 27, 2024 216   Buffalo W 82-72 79%    
  Mar 02, 2024 323   Central Michigan W 78-62 91%    
  Mar 05, 2024 234   @ Ball St. W 74-69 65%    
  Mar 08, 2024 132   @ Toledo L 77-78 46%    
Projected Record 17 - 9 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.1 8.7 8.3 5.3 2.0 31.5 1st
2nd 0.4 2.9 6.4 6.4 3.2 0.6 0.0 19.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.7 4.4 1.2 0.1 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.6 3.1 0.6 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 3.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.5 4.3 5.9 7.8 10.2 12.2 13.2 12.9 11.9 8.9 5.3 2.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.0    2.0
17-1 99.9% 5.3    5.2 0.1
16-2 93.4% 8.3    6.9 1.3 0.0
15-3 72.6% 8.7    5.5 2.9 0.3
14-4 40.1% 5.1    2.1 2.3 0.7 0.0
13-5 14.4% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 31.5% 31.5 22.0 7.6 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.0% 87.0% 71.2% 15.8% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 54.7%
17-1 5.3% 68.3% 59.6% 8.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.7 21.5%
16-2 8.9% 53.0% 50.1% 2.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.2 5.6%
15-3 11.9% 39.4% 38.5% 0.8% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 1.4%
14-4 12.9% 28.9% 28.8% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.1 0.1%
13-5 13.2% 23.8% 23.7% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 10.1 0.0%
12-6 12.2% 17.5% 17.5% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 10.1
11-7 10.2% 11.8% 11.8% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 9.0
10-8 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 7.1
9-9 5.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.6
8-10 4.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.2
7-11 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.5
6-12 1.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 26.2% 25.0% 1.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 3.7 6.9 6.1 3.9 1.8 0.9 73.8 1.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 3.5 9.0 16.5 19.7 29.6 17.7 7.5