IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bowling Green
Mid-American
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.9	#235
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.8	#57
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.3	#164

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.3	#304

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	3.6%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	14.2	14.9

.500 or above	58.5%	64.6%	35.2%
.500 or above in Conference	52.6%	56.4%	37.9%
Conference Champion	4.5%	5.2%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	6.9%	5.6%	12.1%

First Four	0.4%	0.4%	0.4%
First Round	3.0%	3.4%	1.5%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 79.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 6	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	324	Chicago St.	W	78-69	79%
Nov 11, 2023	198	Arkansas St.	W	71-70	52%
Nov 14, 2023	256	@ Oakland	L	77-79	44%
Nov 17, 2023	215	Bellarmine	W	71-69	55%
Nov 24, 2023	172	Western Kentucky	L	73-77	36%
Nov 25, 2023	184	Lipscomb	L	78-81	39%
Nov 26, 2023	269	Canisius	W	77-75	57%
Dec 02, 2023	344	@ Southern Indiana	W	81-76	67%
Dec 16, 2023	286	UMKC	W	72-66	70%
Dec 19, 2023	312	Hampton	W	82-75	74%
Jan 02, 2024	315	Eastern Michigan	W	83-75	74%
Jan 06, 2024	114	@ Akron	L	68-78	18%
Jan 09, 2024	127	Ohio	L	77-80	39%
Jan 13, 2024	240	@ Northern Illinois	L	76-79	41%
Jan 16, 2024	260	@ Miami (OH)	L	75-77	44%
Jan 20, 2024	319	Western Michigan	W	79-71	75%
Jan 23, 2024	107	Kent St.	L	73-78	34%
Jan 27, 2024	132	@ Toledo	L	78-87	23%
Jan 30, 2024	234	@ Ball St.	L	75-78	40%
Feb 03, 2024	323	Central Michigan	W	79-71	76%
Feb 06, 2024	216	Buffalo	W	83-81	56%
Feb 17, 2024	315	@ Eastern Michigan	W	80-78	55%
Feb 20, 2024	323	@ Central Michigan	W	76-74	58%
Feb 24, 2024	132	Toledo	L	81-84	40%
Feb 27, 2024	260	Miami (OH)	W	78-74	64%
Mar 02, 2024	127	@ Ohio	L	74-83	23%
Mar 05, 2024	319	@ Western Michigan	W	76-74	56%
Mar 08, 2024	234	Ball St.	W	78-75	60%
Projected Record						14 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0		0.1	0.6	1.2	1.3	0.9	0.3	0.1		4.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.5	2.5	2.0	0.7	0.1	0.0			7.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.4	3.5	2.2	0.5	0.0	0.0				9.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.8	4.3	2.2	0.3	0.0						10.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.9	4.7	2.3	0.3	0.0							10.5	5th
6th								0.3	2.8	5.2	2.7	0.3	0.0								11.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.2	5.1	2.9	0.3	0.0									10.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.9	4.8	3.0	0.3	0.0										10.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.5	4.0	2.8	0.5	0.0											8.9	9th
10th				0.1	1.5	3.2	2.5	0.5	0.0												7.7	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	1.2	2.3	1.7	0.3	0.0													5.8	11th
12th	0.1	0.6	1.2	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0														4.2	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	2.7	4.7	6.7	8.9	10.6	11.7	11.6	11.1	9.5	7.7	5.5	3.7	2.1	1.0	0.3	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.7%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	90.9%	0.9		0.7	0.2	0.0
15-3	63.0%	1.3		0.8	0.5	0.1
14-4	32.8%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	10.5%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%	0.0								0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.5%	4.5		2.5	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		44.9%	36.7%	8.2%	11.0		0.0				0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		12.9%
17-1	0.3%		37.0%	33.1%	3.8%	11.9									0.0			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		5.7%
16-2	1.0%		24.8%	24.4%	0.4%	12.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7		0.5%
15-3	2.1%		17.8%	17.8%		13.4												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.7
14-4	3.7%		13.9%	13.9%		13.9													0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	3.1
13-5	5.5%		8.9%	8.9%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	5.0
12-6	7.7%		5.8%	5.8%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	7.2
11-7	9.5%		3.7%	3.7%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	9.2
10-8	11.1%		2.5%	2.5%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	10.8
9-9	11.6%		1.3%	1.3%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	11.5
8-10	11.7%		0.9%	0.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.6
7-11	10.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
6-12	8.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
5-13	6.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
4-14	4.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.7
3-15	2.7%																							2.7
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	14.3		0.0				0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.8	96.8		0.0%