IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.3	#323
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.0	#176
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.3	#321

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.1	#299

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	1.2%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.6	15.4

.500 or above	8.2%	35.5%	7.6%
.500 or above in Conference	18.3%	43.9%	17.8%
Conference Champion	0.5%	1.2%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	28.7%	11.3%	29.1%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	0.4%	1.2%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 12
Quad 4	7 - 8	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	53	@ Oklahoma	L	56-78	2%
Nov 11, 2023	287	Louisiana Monroe	W	68-67	52%
Nov 13, 2023	85	@ Florida St.	L	64-82	5%
Nov 15, 2023	145	@ South Florida	L	63-77	10%
Nov 20, 2023	266	Siena	L	67-71	38%
Nov 29, 2023	38	@ Ohio St.	L	59-82	2%
Dec 06, 2023	310	Valparaiso	W	70-68	56%
Dec 09, 2023	8	@ Creighton	L	58-86	1%
Dec 21, 2023	265	Detroit Mercy	L	72-73	48%
Dec 30, 2023	96	@ Loyola Chicago	L	60-77	7%
Jan 02, 2024	216	Buffalo	L	74-78	38%
Jan 06, 2024	234	@ Ball St.	L	67-75	24%
Jan 09, 2024	315	@ Eastern Michigan	L	72-76	37%
Jan 13, 2024	107	Kent St.	L	65-75	19%
Jan 16, 2024	127	@ Ohio	L	65-80	11%
Jan 19, 2024	132	Toledo	L	72-81	24%
Jan 23, 2024	260	Miami (OH)	L	70-71	47%
Jan 27, 2024	319	@ Western Michigan	L	68-71	39%
Jan 30, 2024	240	Northern Illinois	L	71-73	43%
Feb 03, 2024	235	@ Bowling Green	L	71-79	24%
Feb 06, 2024	114	@ Akron	L	60-76	10%
Feb 17, 2024	319	Western Michigan	W	71-68	58%
Feb 20, 2024	235	Bowling Green	L	74-76	42%
Feb 24, 2024	260	@ Miami (OH)	L	67-74	28%
Feb 27, 2024	234	Ball St.	L	70-72	42%
Mar 02, 2024	107	@ Kent St.	L	62-78	9%
Mar 05, 2024	240	@ Northern Illinois	L	68-76	25%
Mar 08, 2024	315	Eastern Michigan	W	75-73	57%
Projected Record						8 - 20	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0					2.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	1.2	1.5	0.5	0.1	0.0						3.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	1.8	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0							5.1	5th
6th								0.3	1.9	2.9	1.1	0.1	0.0								6.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.3	3.8	1.6	0.1										8.1	7th
8th						0.3	2.4	4.9	2.2	0.3											10.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.7	5.4	3.0	0.4	0.0											11.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	3.4	6.0	3.7	0.5	0.0												14.1	10th
11th		0.1	1.5	4.9	6.5	3.3	0.6	0.0													16.9	11th
12th	1.4	4.3	6.3	5.4	2.5	0.3	0.0														20.2	12th

Total	1.4	4.4	7.8	10.9	12.6	12.5	12.4	11.0	8.7	6.8	4.7	3.3	1.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	93.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	64.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	35.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	12.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0						0.0		0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0								0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.1%		21.9%	21.9%		13.8														0.0	0.0			0.1
15-3	0.2%		13.2%	13.2%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
14-4	0.5%		4.7%	4.7%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5
13-5	0.9%		2.9%	2.9%		14.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.9
12-6	1.8%		4.1%	4.1%		15.0															0.0	0.1	0.0	1.7
11-7	3.3%		2.3%	2.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.2
10-8	4.7%		1.2%	1.2%		15.8																0.0	0.0	4.7
9-9	6.8%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.7
8-10	8.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.6
7-11	11.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
6-12	12.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
5-13	12.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
4-14	12.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.6
3-15	10.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.9
2-16	7.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
1-17	4.4%																							4.4
0-18	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%