IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.6	#281
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.1	#175
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.5	#283

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#269

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.4%	26.0%	11.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.8	15.5

.500 or above	27.3%	62.6%	26.8%
.500 or above in Conference	76.3%	91.2%	76.1%
Conference Champion	15.6%	30.7%	15.4%
Last Place in Conference	1.9%	0.3%	1.9%

First Four	5.2%	5.5%	5.2%
First Round	8.8%	23.1%	8.6%
Second Round	0.4%	1.6%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.9%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 12
Quad 4	11 - 6	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	17	@ Arkansas	L	61-84	1%
Nov 14, 2023	198	@ Arkansas St.	L	62-70	22%
Nov 16, 2023	77	@ UAB	L	67-83	7%
Nov 19, 2023	5	@ Michigan St.	L	55-81	1%
Nov 21, 2023	24	@ TCU	L	62-84	2%
Nov 22, 2023	200	@ Texas Arlington	L	64-72	24%
Nov 24, 2023	45	@ Clemson	L	62-82	4%
Dec 10, 2023	82	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	61-77	8%
Dec 12, 2023	29	@ Maryland	L	56-78	3%
Dec 17, 2023	123	@ Northern Iowa	L	65-77	15%
Dec 19, 2023	70	@ Drake	L	61-78	7%
Dec 21, 2023	238	@ George Washington	L	72-78	31%
Jan 06, 2024	245	@ Jackson St.	L	68-73	34%
Jan 13, 2024	338	@ Alabama A&M	W	70-69	55%
Jan 15, 2024	353	@ Alabama St.	W	70-67	61%
Jan 20, 2024	222	Texas Southern	L	71-72	48%
Jan 22, 2024	326	Prairie View	W	72-66	69%
Jan 27, 2024	343	@ Florida A&M	W	67-65	57%
Jan 29, 2024	349	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	74-71	59%
Feb 03, 2024	321	Southern	W	75-70	67%
Feb 05, 2024	253	Grambling St.	W	67-66	54%
Feb 10, 2024	346	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	74-72	57%
Feb 12, 2024	361	@ Mississippi Valley	W	73-65	75%
Feb 17, 2024	349	Bethune-Cookman	W	77-68	76%
Feb 19, 2024	343	Florida A&M	W	70-62	74%
Feb 24, 2024	245	Jackson St.	W	71-70	53%
Mar 02, 2024	326	@ Prairie View	L	68-69	51%
Mar 04, 2024	222	@ Texas Southern	L	68-75	29%
Mar 09, 2024	361	Mississippi Valley	W	76-62	88%
Mar 09, 2024	346	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	77-69	75%
Projected Record						12 - 18	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.4	3.4	4.5	3.7	1.9	0.6		15.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.4	4.9	4.4	1.8	0.4	0.0			14.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	3.0	5.3	3.7	1.0	0.1	0.0				13.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.9	5.3	3.2	0.6	0.0	0.0					12.4	4th
5th									0.3	2.3	4.8	2.7	0.4	0.0							10.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.8	4.2	2.5	0.3	0.0								9.0	6th
7th							0.1	1.2	3.4	2.3	0.3	0.0									7.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.9	2.5	1.9	0.4	0.0										5.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.5	1.9	1.9	0.5	0.0											4.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.0	0.5	1.3	1.3	0.3	0.0												3.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0													2.2	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0														1.0	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.6	2.7	4.3	6.1	8.0	9.6	11.0	11.8	11.6	10.6	8.7	6.4	4.1	1.9	0.6			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
17-1	99.6%	1.9		1.8	0.1
16-2	90.8%	3.7		3.1	0.6	0.0
15-3	70.1%	4.5		2.6	1.6	0.2	0.0
14-4	38.5%	3.4		1.4	1.5	0.5	0.0
13-5	13.0%	1.4		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	15.6%	15.6		9.8	4.5	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.6%		72.8%	72.8%		14.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.2
17-1	1.9%		53.9%	53.9%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.9
16-2	4.1%		43.8%	43.8%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.5	2.3
15-3	6.4%		32.8%	32.8%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	1.1	4.3
14-4	8.7%		23.0%	23.0%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	6.7
13-5	10.6%		14.2%	14.2%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.4	9.1
12-6	11.6%		10.9%	10.9%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.2	10.4
11-7	11.8%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																0.0	0.6	11.2
10-8	11.0%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.4	10.6
9-9	9.6%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.2	9.4
8-10	8.0%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	7.9
7-11	6.1%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.1
6-12	4.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
5-13	2.7%																							2.7
4-14	1.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.4%	11.4%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.7	7.1	88.6		0.0%