Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#326
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.8#157
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#351
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 10.1% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 13.3% 34.7% 11.5%
.500 or above in Conference 52.2% 70.7% 50.6%
Conference Champion 5.5% 11.4% 5.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 2.2% 6.9%
First Four2.5% 4.0% 2.4%
First Round3.2% 8.1% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Away) - 7.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 49 - 810 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 126   @ Seattle L 62-77 8%    
  Nov 10, 2023 86   @ Washington St. L 56-75 4%    
  Nov 14, 2023 168   @ Abilene Christian L 65-78 13%    
  Nov 19, 2023 282   Tennessee Martin L 74-77 40%    
  Nov 21, 2023 134   @ Eastern Kentucky L 66-81 9%    
  Nov 29, 2023 99   @ Tulane L 68-85 7%    
  Dec 10, 2023 40   @ Iowa St. L 51-75 2%    
  Dec 12, 2023 123   @ Northern Iowa L 62-77 9%    
  Dec 20, 2023 178   @ Rice L 68-80 14%    
  Dec 28, 2023 249   @ Texas San Antonio L 68-76 25%    
  Dec 30, 2023 22   @ Texas A&M L 55-81 1%    
  Jan 06, 2024 253   @ Grambling St. L 61-69 26%    
  Jan 08, 2024 321   @ Southern L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 13, 2024 361   Mississippi Valley W 73-62 83%    
  Jan 15, 2024 346   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 20, 2024 245   @ Jackson St. L 65-73 25%    
  Jan 22, 2024 281   @ Alcorn St. L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 27, 2024 353   Alabama St. W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 29, 2024 338   Alabama A&M W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 03, 2024 222   Texas Southern L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 10, 2024 349   @ Bethune-Cookman L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 12, 2024 343   @ Florida A&M L 63-64 47%    
  Feb 17, 2024 321   Southern W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 19, 2024 253   Grambling St. L 64-66 45%    
  Feb 24, 2024 346   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 26, 2024 361   @ Mississippi Valley W 70-65 67%    
  Mar 02, 2024 281   Alcorn St. W 69-68 49%    
  Mar 04, 2024 245   Jackson St. L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 09, 2024 222   @ Texas Southern L 66-75 22%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.3 1.9 0.3 9.4 4th
5th 0.3 2.7 4.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.9 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.8 6.9 8.9 10.9 11.3 11.7 10.9 9.5 7.5 5.5 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 95.3% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 75.9% 1.7    1.1 0.6 0.0
14-4 42.5% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.2% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 81.8% 81.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 54.3% 54.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 45.0% 45.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5
15-3 2.2% 28.4% 28.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.6
14-4 3.5% 20.8% 20.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.8
13-5 5.5% 14.6% 14.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.7
12-6 7.5% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 6.9
11-7 9.5% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.0
10-8 10.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 10.6
9-9 11.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 11.5
8-10 11.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.2
7-11 10.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.9
6-12 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-13 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 4.8% 4.8
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.4 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%