IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.9	#253
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.8	#238
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#317

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.1	#168

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	19.1%	35.1%	18.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.6	15.3

.500 or above	55.1%	85.9%	54.0%
.500 or above in Conference	84.3%	95.4%	83.9%
Conference Champion	22.0%	39.7%	21.3%
Last Place in Conference	1.0%	0.3%	1.0%

First Four	6.1%	4.3%	6.1%
First Round	15.9%	32.8%	15.3%
Second Round	0.6%	1.9%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colorado (Away) - 3.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 6	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2023	33	@ Colorado	L	58-78	4%
Nov 17, 2023	355	Delaware St.	W	70-62	78%
Nov 19, 2023	40	@ Iowa St.	L	52-71	4%
Nov 22, 2023	117	Sam Houston St.	L	59-67	24%
Nov 24, 2023	218	@ Troy	L	64-69	32%
Dec 02, 2023	72	@ Dayton	L	54-69	9%
Dec 10, 2023	86	@ Washington St.	L	56-70	11%
Dec 14, 2023	70	@ Drake	L	58-73	9%
Dec 20, 2023	268	@ SE Louisiana	L	70-72	43%
Dec 22, 2023	36	@ Florida	L	59-78	5%
Jan 06, 2024	326	Prairie View	W	69-61	74%
Jan 08, 2024	222	Texas Southern	W	69-68	54%
Jan 13, 2024	349	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	71-66	65%
Jan 15, 2024	343	@ Florida A&M	W	64-60	62%
Jan 20, 2024	321	Southern	W	72-65	72%
Jan 27, 2024	361	Mississippi Valley	W	73-57	91%
Jan 29, 2024	346	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	74-64	80%
Feb 03, 2024	245	@ Jackson St.	L	65-68	39%
Feb 05, 2024	281	@ Alcorn St.	L	66-67	46%
Feb 10, 2024	353	Alabama St.	W	71-60	82%
Feb 12, 2024	338	Alabama A&M	W	71-62	77%
Feb 17, 2024	222	@ Texas Southern	L	66-71	34%
Feb 19, 2024	326	@ Prairie View	W	66-64	55%
Feb 24, 2024	321	@ Southern	W	69-68	54%
Mar 02, 2024	343	Florida A&M	W	67-57	79%
Mar 04, 2024	349	Bethune-Cookman	W	74-63	81%
Mar 07, 2024	338	@ Alabama A&M	W	68-65	59%
Mar 09, 2024	353	@ Alabama St.	W	68-63	66%
Projected Record						14 - 14	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.7	4.1	6.0	5.6	3.2	1.0		22.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	2.8	6.0	5.7	2.6	0.6	0.0			18.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.9	5.7	4.2	1.3	0.1	0.0				14.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.6	5.2	3.1	0.6	0.0						11.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.9	4.3	2.5	0.4	0.0							9.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.2	3.2	2.2	0.3	0.0								7.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.9	2.6	1.8	0.3										5.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.5	1.9	1.7	0.3	0.0										4.4	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.0	1.2	0.3	0.0											2.9	9th
10th			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.2	0.0												2.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0													1.1	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.5	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.5	2.6	4.3	5.9	7.7	9.9	11.5	12.4	12.4	11.2	8.7	6.3	3.2	1.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.0		1.0
17-1	99.4%	3.2		3.0	0.2
16-2	90.1%	5.6		4.6	1.0	0.0
15-3	68.7%	6.0		3.6	2.2	0.2	0.0
14-4	36.9%	4.1		1.7	1.8	0.6	0.0	0.0
13-5	13.4%	1.7		0.4	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.7%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	22.0%	22.0		14.3	6.0	1.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.0%		79.1%	79.1%		13.6						0.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2
17-1	3.2%		64.9%	64.9%		14.2												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.7	0.2	1.1
16-2	6.3%		52.6%	52.6%		14.8												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	1.3	0.8	3.0
15-3	8.7%		39.6%	39.6%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.5	1.3	1.6	5.3
14-4	11.2%		30.3%	30.3%		15.6														0.0	0.2	1.0	2.1	7.8
13-5	12.4%		20.4%	20.4%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.4	2.1	9.9
12-6	12.4%		14.5%	14.5%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.6	10.6
11-7	11.5%		8.2%	8.2%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.9	10.6
10-8	9.9%		5.1%	5.1%		16.0																0.0	0.5	9.4
9-9	7.7%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.2	7.5
8-10	5.9%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	5.8
7-11	4.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
6-12	2.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.6
5-13	1.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
4-14	0.8%																							0.8
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		19.1%	19.1%	0.0%	15.2						0.0					0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	2.6	5.1	10.1	80.9		0.0%