IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2023-24

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.0	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.1	#26
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.5	#344

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.5	#253

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.2%	18.8%	5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.1	15.6

.500 or above	23.6%	61.7%	23.1%
.500 or above in Conference	59.3%	82.7%	59.0%
Conference Champion	6.8%	15.9%	6.7%
Last Place in Conference	4.7%	1.2%	4.8%

First Four	2.5%	4.3%	2.5%
First Round	3.8%	15.4%	3.7%
Second Round	0.1%	1.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 3	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 8	11 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2023	24	@ TCU	L	63-88	1%
Nov 08, 2023	91	@ UNLV	L	67-84	5%
Nov 13, 2023	11	@ Arizona	L	67-94	1%
Nov 17, 2023	317	@ Western Illinois	L	71-74	38%
Nov 19, 2023	21	@ Illinois	L	63-88	1%
Nov 25, 2023	310	@ Valparaiso	L	70-74	37%
Nov 28, 2023	9	@ Marquette	L	62-90	1%
Dec 03, 2023	37	@ Mississippi St.	L	55-78	2%
Dec 09, 2023	268	SE Louisiana	L	76-77	49%
Dec 16, 2023	99	@ Tulane	L	72-89	8%
Jan 06, 2024	222	Texas Southern	L	72-75	40%
Jan 08, 2024	326	Prairie View	W	73-69	62%
Jan 13, 2024	343	@ Florida A&M	L	67-68	49%
Jan 15, 2024	349	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	75-74	52%
Jan 20, 2024	253	@ Grambling St.	L	65-72	28%
Jan 27, 2024	346	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-72	69%
Jan 29, 2024	361	Mississippi Valley	W	77-65	84%
Feb 03, 2024	281	@ Alcorn St.	L	70-75	33%
Feb 05, 2024	245	@ Jackson St.	L	69-76	27%
Feb 10, 2024	338	Alabama A&M	W	74-69	66%
Feb 12, 2024	353	Alabama St.	W	74-67	72%
Feb 17, 2024	326	@ Prairie View	L	70-72	42%
Feb 19, 2024	222	@ Texas Southern	L	69-78	23%
Feb 24, 2024	253	Grambling St.	L	68-69	46%
Mar 02, 2024	349	Bethune-Cookman	W	77-71	70%
Mar 04, 2024	343	Florida A&M	W	70-64	68%
Mar 09, 2024	338	@ Alabama A&M	L	71-72	46%
Mar 09, 2024	353	@ Alabama St.	W	71-70	53%
Projected Record						11 - 17	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.8	2.0	1.4	0.5	0.1		6.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	1.9	3.2	2.3	0.9	0.1	0.0			8.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	2.4	4.1	2.5	0.5	0.0					10.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.9	4.6	2.5	0.4	0.0						10.9	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.6	5.0	2.5	0.4	0.0							10.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.3	5.1	2.6	0.4	0.0								10.7	6th
7th							0.2	2.0	4.9	2.9	0.4	0.0									10.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.5	4.1	2.9	0.5	0.0										9.1	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.2	3.4	2.7	0.6	0.0											8.1	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.5	2.2	0.5	0.0												6.6	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.0	1.8	1.4	0.4	0.0													5.0	11th
12th	0.1	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0														2.6	12th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.1	2.0	3.7	5.4	7.7	9.4	11.0	11.6	11.5	10.4	9.1	6.9	4.7	2.9	1.5	0.5	0.1			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.4%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	91.9%	1.4		1.1	0.2	0.0
15-3	69.0%	2.0		1.3	0.7	0.1
14-4	38.7%	1.8		0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0
13-5	11.5%	0.8		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.8%	6.8		3.9	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		77.5%	77.5%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.5%		56.3%	56.3%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2
16-2	1.5%		39.2%	39.2%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.9
15-3	2.9%		31.3%	31.3%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	2.0
14-4	4.7%		18.3%	18.3%		15.7															0.0	0.3	0.6	3.8
13-5	6.9%		11.9%	11.9%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.7	6.1
12-6	9.1%		6.7%	6.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.6	8.5
11-7	10.4%		4.6%	4.6%		16.0																0.0	0.5	9.9
10-8	11.5%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	11.3
9-9	11.6%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	11.5
8-10	11.0%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.9
7-11	9.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
6-12	7.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
5-13	5.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
4-14	3.7%																							3.7
3-15	2.0%																							2.0
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.2%	5.2%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.1	0.3	1.2	3.6	94.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%