Preseason Rankings
Houston Christian
Southland
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.9#360
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.7#37
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#306
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-10.3#362
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 2.8% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.4 15.9
.500 or above 2.2% 13.3% 2.1%
.500 or above in Conference 15.9% 39.6% 15.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 4.5% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 40.1% 16.6% 40.2%
First Four0.5% 1.0% 0.5%
First Round0.4% 2.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 0.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 9
Quad 46 - 126 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 50   @ BYU L 66-93 0.5%   
  Nov 15, 2023 196   Florida International L 75-86 17%    
  Nov 20, 2023 249   Texas San Antonio L 77-84 26%    
  Nov 24, 2023 59   @ Oklahoma St. L 62-89 1%    
  Nov 27, 2023 24   @ TCU L 64-95 0.4%   
  Dec 02, 2023 178   @ Rice L 74-92 6%    
  Dec 09, 2023 15   @ Texas L 62-94 0.3%   
  Dec 19, 2023 101   @ SMU L 68-90 3%    
  Dec 22, 2023 22   @ Texas A&M L 60-91 0.4%   
  Jan 06, 2024 284   Nicholls St. L 79-84 33%    
  Jan 08, 2024 283   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-85 17%    
  Jan 13, 2024 291   @ Texas A&M - Commerce L 70-81 18%    
  Jan 15, 2024 337   @ Northwestern St. L 73-80 28%    
  Jan 20, 2024 341   Lamar L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 22, 2024 299   New Orleans L 82-86 36%    
  Jan 27, 2024 348   @ Incarnate Word L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 29, 2024 268   SE Louisiana L 78-84 31%    
  Feb 03, 2024 284   @ Nicholls St. L 76-87 18%    
  Feb 05, 2024 299   @ New Orleans L 79-89 19%    
  Feb 10, 2024 348   Incarnate Word W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 12, 2024 271   McNeese St. L 75-81 31%    
  Feb 17, 2024 268   @ SE Louisiana L 75-87 16%    
  Feb 24, 2024 337   Northwestern St. L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 26, 2024 283   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 77-82 34%    
  Mar 02, 2024 291   Texas A&M - Commerce L 73-78 34%    
  Mar 04, 2024 271   @ McNeese St. L 72-84 17%    
  Mar 06, 2024 341   @ Lamar L 72-78 30%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.3 4.4 2.1 0.2 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 5.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 14.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.0 6.6 5.8 2.2 0.2 0.0 20.2 9th
10th 2.3 5.7 8.3 7.7 4.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 30.1 10th
Total 2.3 5.8 9.6 11.9 12.8 12.6 11.5 9.7 7.8 5.6 4.3 2.7 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 98.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 65.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 32.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 31.0% 31.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 60.9% 60.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 33.6% 33.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 17.0% 17.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.0% 11.0% 11.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9
12-6 1.5% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-7 2.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.6
10-8 4.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 4.2
9-9 5.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.6
8-10 7.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.8
7-11 9.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.6
4-14 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.8
3-15 11.9% 11.9
2-16 9.6% 9.6
1-17 5.8% 5.8
0-18 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%