Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#196
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.3#40
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#204
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.0% 8.9% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.6 12.6 14.0
.500 or above 40.4% 66.8% 35.8%
.500 or above in Conference 36.7% 53.1% 33.8%
Conference Champion 5.1% 10.3% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.2% 12.4% 23.9%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round4.6% 8.5% 3.9%
Second Round0.6% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 48 - 313 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 81   @ Central Florida L 64-75 15%    
  Nov 09, 2023 214   Tarleton St. W 74-70 65%    
  Nov 13, 2023 30   @ Miami (FL) L 70-86 7%    
  Nov 15, 2023 360   @ Houston Christian W 86-75 83%    
  Nov 19, 2023 114   Akron L 69-74 33%    
  Nov 26, 2023 204   Kennesaw St. W 77-73 63%    
  Nov 29, 2023 159   Florida Gulf Coast W 75-74 54%    
  Dec 02, 2023 359   LIU Brooklyn W 88-72 92%    
  Dec 13, 2023 25   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-84 7%    
  Dec 19, 2023 207   Stetson W 76-72 62%    
  Dec 21, 2023 264   Maine W 75-68 73%    
  Dec 30, 2023 210   @ Utah Tech L 56-58 43%    
  Jan 06, 2024 221   @ Jacksonville St. L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 11, 2024 167   New Mexico St. W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 13, 2024 155   UTEP W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 18, 2024 84   @ Liberty L 65-76 18%    
  Jan 25, 2024 172   @ Western Kentucky L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 27, 2024 137   @ Middle Tennessee L 70-76 31%    
  Feb 01, 2024 120   Louisiana Tech L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 03, 2024 117   Sam Houston St. L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 10, 2024 137   Middle Tennessee L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 15, 2024 117   @ Sam Houston St. L 65-72 27%    
  Feb 17, 2024 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 22, 2024 84   Liberty L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 24, 2024 221   Jacksonville St. W 74-69 65%    
  Mar 02, 2024 172   Western Kentucky W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 07, 2024 155   @ UTEP L 69-74 33%    
  Mar 09, 2024 167   @ New Mexico St. L 74-79 34%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.2 3.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.8 4.6 1.0 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.4 5.1 1.1 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.4 5.5 1.3 0.0 14.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.4 5.5 4.3 1.1 0.0 15.2 8th
9th 0.8 2.3 4.3 4.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 14.8 9th
Total 0.8 2.4 5.1 8.0 10.0 11.8 13.0 12.2 10.7 8.9 6.8 4.7 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 95.4% 0.6    0.6 0.1
13-3 81.7% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
12-4 51.7% 1.6    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-5 20.6% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 4.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 71.8% 41.9% 29.9% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.5%
15-1 0.2% 58.7% 42.9% 15.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 27.7%
14-2 0.6% 39.2% 31.9% 7.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.7%
13-3 1.6% 27.8% 24.5% 3.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 4.3%
12-4 3.0% 20.0% 19.6% 0.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.4 0.5%
11-5 4.7% 14.0% 13.9% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.1 0.1%
10-6 6.8% 10.1% 10.1% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.1
9-7 8.9% 7.3% 7.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 8.2
8-8 10.7% 4.8% 4.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 10.2
7-9 12.2% 3.0% 3.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 11.9
6-10 13.0% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 12.7
5-11 11.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.6
4-12 10.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.9
3-13 8.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.9
2-14 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.1
1-15 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.4
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 5.0% 4.8% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.7 1.0 95.0 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%