Preseason Rankings
UTEP
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#155
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.4#190
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#244
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#93
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 11.6% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.9 12.7 13.7
.500 or above 58.8% 69.9% 42.2%
.500 or above in Conference 53.8% 60.5% 43.8%
Conference Champion 10.2% 12.9% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 9.6% 17.6%
First Four1.0% 0.9% 1.1%
First Round9.0% 11.1% 5.8%
Second Round1.6% 2.2% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Home) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 56 - 10
Quad 48 - 213 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2023 150   UC Santa Barbara W 68-65 60%    
  Nov 17, 2023 236   Austin Peay W 70-62 76%    
  Nov 21, 2023 105   California L 61-64 39%    
  Nov 25, 2023 116   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-72 32%    
  Nov 29, 2023 283   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-66 83%    
  Dec 09, 2023 35   @ Oregon L 61-75 12%    
  Dec 17, 2023 168   @ Abilene Christian L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 20, 2023 248   Norfolk St. W 71-62 77%    
  Dec 30, 2023 126   Seattle W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 04, 2024 167   @ New Mexico St. L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 07, 2024 324   Chicago St. W 73-60 87%    
  Jan 13, 2024 196   @ Florida International L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 18, 2024 137   Middle Tennessee W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 20, 2024 172   Western Kentucky W 70-66 63%    
  Jan 25, 2024 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 27, 2024 117   @ Sam Houston St. L 61-66 34%    
  Feb 01, 2024 221   Jacksonville St. W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 03, 2024 84   Liberty L 63-66 42%    
  Feb 10, 2024 167   New Mexico St. W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 15, 2024 172   @ Western Kentucky L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 17, 2024 137   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-69 37%    
  Feb 22, 2024 120   Louisiana Tech W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 24, 2024 117   Sam Houston St. W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 29, 2024 221   @ Jacksonville St. W 66-65 53%    
  Mar 02, 2024 84   @ Liberty L 60-69 25%    
  Mar 07, 2024 196   Florida International W 74-69 67%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.8 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 10.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.3 2.7 0.8 0.1 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.1 5.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.7 5.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.6 5.1 1.2 0.1 12.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 4.5 5.0 1.2 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.3 4.1 4.5 1.1 0.1 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.6 3.3 0.8 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.1 9th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.4 4.4 6.6 8.8 10.8 11.6 12.1 11.1 10.3 8.0 5.8 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
14-2 94.8% 1.9    1.6 0.3 0.0
13-3 77.9% 2.8    2.0 0.8 0.0
12-4 47.7% 2.8    1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0
11-5 19.4% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 6.2 3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 83.8% 52.9% 30.9% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 65.7%
15-1 0.7% 58.6% 42.8% 15.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 27.5%
14-2 2.0% 47.4% 40.5% 6.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 11.6%
13-3 3.6% 35.4% 32.5% 2.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 4.3%
12-4 5.8% 22.0% 21.7% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.5 0.5%
11-5 8.0% 16.9% 16.9% 0.0% 12.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.7 0.0%
10-6 10.3% 12.2% 12.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.1
9-7 11.1% 8.6% 8.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 10.1
8-8 12.1% 6.3% 6.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 11.3
7-9 11.6% 3.9% 3.9% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 11.2
6-10 10.8% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.5
5-11 8.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.6
4-12 6.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.5
3-13 4.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-14 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.4
1-15 1.2% 1.2
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 9.4% 9.0% 0.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.0 90.6 0.5%