Preseason Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#220
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.1#338
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.5% 45.3% 26.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 61.1% 87.6% 60.4%
.500 or above in Conference 84.9% 94.4% 84.7%
Conference Champion 30.1% 48.2% 29.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.2% 1.3%
First Four5.4% 3.3% 5.5%
First Round23.9% 43.7% 23.4%
Second Round1.4% 4.1% 1.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 32 - 7
Quad 413 - 614 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 12   @ Alabama L 61-82 2%    
  Nov 10, 2023 2   @ Purdue L 51-75 1%    
  Nov 14, 2023 237   Mercer W 64-60 65%    
  Nov 17, 2023 76   @ Penn St. L 57-70 13%    
  Nov 20, 2023 215   @ Bellarmine L 60-63 37%    
  Nov 29, 2023 236   @ Austin Peay L 63-65 43%    
  Dec 03, 2023 197   Chattanooga W 68-67 55%    
  Dec 10, 2023 223   @ North Alabama L 66-69 41%    
  Dec 19, 2023 39   @ Indiana L 57-74 7%    
  Dec 31, 2023 308   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 04, 2024 289   Tennessee Tech W 69-62 72%    
  Jan 06, 2024 262   Tennessee St. W 73-67 68%    
  Jan 11, 2024 332   @ Eastern Illinois W 67-63 65%    
  Jan 13, 2024 259   @ SIU Edwardsville L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 18, 2024 282   Tennessee Martin W 75-68 72%    
  Jan 20, 2024 344   @ Southern Indiana W 71-65 69%    
  Jan 27, 2024 317   Western Illinois W 70-61 77%    
  Feb 01, 2024 262   @ Tennessee St. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 03, 2024 289   @ Tennessee Tech W 66-65 53%    
  Feb 08, 2024 259   SIU Edwardsville W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 10, 2024 332   Eastern Illinois W 70-60 81%    
  Feb 15, 2024 275   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 17, 2024 282   @ Tennessee Martin W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 20, 2024 344   Southern Indiana W 74-62 83%    
  Feb 22, 2024 317   @ Western Illinois W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 29, 2024 308   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-67 75%    
  Mar 02, 2024 356   Lindenwood W 73-59 87%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 6.4 7.8 6.5 3.6 1.3 30.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 4.3 6.2 4.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 17.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.1 5.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.6 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.1 1.1 0.1 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.5 0.9 0.1 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 0.9 0.0 3.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.5 4.0 5.7 7.5 9.5 10.9 12.3 12.3 11.2 9.5 6.8 3.6 1.3 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.3    1.3
17-1 99.7% 3.6    3.5 0.1
16-2 95.8% 6.5    5.9 0.7 0.0
15-3 82.1% 7.8    5.9 1.8 0.1
14-4 57.0% 6.4    3.5 2.4 0.5 0.0
13-5 27.8% 3.4    1.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 30.1% 30.1 21.2 6.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.3% 83.3% 83.2% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2%
17-1 3.6% 72.3% 72.3% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.0
16-2 6.8% 61.7% 61.7% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.3 2.6
15-3 9.5% 51.0% 51.0% 14.7 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.1 1.0 4.7
14-4 11.2% 41.3% 41.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.8 6.6
13-5 12.3% 29.3% 29.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 8.7
12-6 12.3% 20.1% 20.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 9.9
11-7 10.9% 13.7% 13.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 9.4
10-8 9.5% 8.5% 8.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8 8.7
9-9 7.5% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 7.1
8-10 5.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.2 5.5
7-11 4.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 3.9
6-12 2.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-13 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.8
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 26.5% 26.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.4 5.4 7.9 9.9 73.5 0.0%