Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#184
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#185
Pace63.8#295
Improvement-1.4#254

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#160
First Shot-0.3#178
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#134
Layup/Dunks+2.7#85
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#230
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#90
Freethrows-4.9#364
Improvement+0.8#150

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#226
First Shot-2.8#272
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#102
Layups/Dunks+1.1#130
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#343
Freethrows+1.1#106
Improvement-2.3#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 414 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 159   @ UNC Greensboro L 64-73 33%     0 - 1 -6.0 -2.0 -4.7
  Nov 08, 2024 74   @ TCU L 51-67 14%     0 - 2 -5.7 -8.5 +1.3
  Nov 13, 2024 112   St. Bonaventure L 65-74 41%     0 - 3 -8.1 -3.9 -4.5
  Nov 16, 2024 68   @ Drake L 61-63 13%     0 - 4 +9.0 +1.0 +7.8
  Nov 22, 2024 242   Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-54 71%     1 - 4 +12.8 +10.9 +6.0
  Nov 23, 2024 209   Northeastern L 55-59 65%     1 - 5 -9.5 -13.4 +3.4
  Nov 24, 2024 252   Florida International W 60-59 73%     2 - 5 -6.7 -6.8 +0.2
  Nov 30, 2024 114   @ Florida Atlantic W 80-78 24%     3 - 5 +8.1 +15.0 -6.8
  Dec 04, 2024 139   Furman L 73-76 50%     3 - 6 -4.5 +2.0 -6.6
  Dec 08, 2024 86   @ LSU L 71-80 16%     3 - 7 +0.2 +5.8 -5.9
  Dec 18, 2024 113   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-79 23%     3 - 8 -6.8 +1.6 -9.9
  Dec 28, 2024 225   @ Richmond W 75-57 47%     4 - 8 +17.3 +6.9 +11.4
  Jan 02, 2025 348   @ West Georgia W 79-68 79%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +1.1 +4.3 -2.9
  Jan 04, 2025 204   @ Queens L 83-92 44%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -8.8 +10.0 -18.9
  Jan 09, 2025 121   North Alabama W 75-70 46%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +4.7 +3.3 +1.5
  Jan 11, 2025 343   Central Arkansas W 77-71 89%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -9.1 -1.7 -7.3
  Jan 16, 2025 348   West Georgia W 82-60 90%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +6.6 -1.3 +7.0
  Jan 18, 2025 204   Queens W 60-47 65%     9 - 9 5 - 1 +7.7 -6.0 +16.0
  Jan 23, 2025 341   @ Bellarmine W 77-61 78%     10 - 9 6 - 1 +6.6 +5.2 +3.4
  Jan 25, 2025 194   @ Eastern Kentucky L 77-81 41%     10 - 10 6 - 2 -3.2 +3.9 -7.2
  Jan 29, 2025 195   @ Jacksonville W 83-79 41%     11 - 10 7 - 2 +4.8 +17.1 -12.1
  Feb 01, 2025 350   Stetson W 82-56 91%     12 - 10 8 - 2 +10.1 +9.6 +3.7
  Feb 06, 2025 194   Eastern Kentucky L 74-92 62%     12 - 11 8 - 3 -22.7 -2.7 -20.3
  Feb 08, 2025 276   @ North Florida W 84-70 59%     13 - 11 9 - 3 +10.3 +4.3 +5.9
  Feb 13, 2025 277   @ Austin Peay L 60-73 59%     13 - 12 9 - 4 -16.9 -2.7 -16.8
  Feb 15, 2025 97   @ Lipscomb L 68-82 19%     13 - 13 9 - 5 -6.2 +1.1 -7.9
  Feb 18, 2025 195   Jacksonville W 72-56 62%     14 - 13 10 - 5 +11.3 +11.0 +2.8
  Feb 20, 2025 350   @ Stetson W 83-80 80%     15 - 13 11 - 5 -7.4 +9.8 -16.9
  Feb 24, 2025 276   North Florida W 86-82 77%     16 - 13 12 - 5 -5.2 -5.0 -0.6
  Feb 26, 2025 341   Bellarmine W 80-61 89%     17 - 13 13 - 5 +4.1 +4.4 +1.8
  Mar 03, 2025 204   Queens L 65-71 65%     17 - 14 -11.3 -5.8 -6.0
Projected Record 17 - 14 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%