Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois-Chicago
Missouri Valley
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#172
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#149
Pace71.9#72
Improvement-3.0#300

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#181
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#143
Layup/Dunks+0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement-4.5#343

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#187
First Shot-0.7#204
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#171
Layups/Dunks-4.2#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#102
Freethrows+1.3#92
Improvement+1.5#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 24 - 24 - 4
Quad 34 - 78 - 11
Quad 47 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 78   Yale W 91-79 31%     1 - 0 +16.3 +10.3 +4.9
  Nov 12, 2024 49   @ Northwestern L 74-83 9%     1 - 1 +4.9 +6.5 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2024 165   James Madison L 81-99 49%     1 - 2 -18.4 -0.8 -16.2
  Nov 22, 2024 212   La Salle W 96-83 59%     2 - 2 +10.1 +15.0 -5.9
  Nov 23, 2024 166   East Carolina L 55-72 49%     2 - 3 -17.4 -13.8 -5.2
  Dec 04, 2024 105   Northern Iowa L 56-83 42%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -25.7 -8.2 -21.2
  Dec 08, 2024 189   Dartmouth W 69-68 OT 65%     3 - 4 -3.5 -12.6 +8.9
  Dec 15, 2024 254   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 77-69 OT 56%     4 - 4 +5.8 +4.0 +1.6
  Dec 20, 2024 149   @ Seattle W 79-68 35%     5 - 4 +14.4 +7.8 +6.2
  Dec 29, 2024 137   @ Illinois St. W 73-67 32%     6 - 4 1 - 1 +10.2 +7.2 +3.7
  Jan 01, 2025 68   Drake W 74-70 28%     7 - 4 2 - 1 +9.5 +17.8 -7.6
  Jan 04, 2025 128   @ Belmont L 87-92 30%     7 - 5 2 - 2 -0.3 +6.1 -5.8
  Jan 07, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 80-63 51%     8 - 5 3 - 2 +16.0 +20.5 -1.9
  Jan 11, 2025 96   Bradley L 60-61 38%     8 - 6 3 - 3 +1.3 -10.4 +11.7
  Jan 15, 2025 143   Murray St. W 97-93 2OT 54%     9 - 6 4 - 3 +2.2 +4.0 -2.6
  Jan 18, 2025 206   @ Valparaiso W 81-74 47%     10 - 6 5 - 3 +7.2 +7.8 -0.6
  Jan 22, 2025 244   @ Evansville W 78-67 54%     11 - 6 6 - 3 +9.2 +12.1 -2.2
  Jan 25, 2025 193   Southern Illinois L 85-89 65%     11 - 7 6 - 4 -8.6 +6.7 -15.2
  Jan 29, 2025 96   @ Bradley W 93-70 21%     12 - 7 7 - 4 +30.8 +20.9 +9.2
  Feb 01, 2025 197   Indiana St. L 83-88 65%     12 - 8 7 - 5 -9.7 -1.3 -8.1
  Feb 05, 2025 137   Illinois St. L 79-81 52%     12 - 9 7 - 6 -3.3 +7.5 -10.9
  Feb 08, 2025 193   @ Southern Illinois L 67-79 44%     12 - 10 7 - 7 -11.1 -6.3 -4.7
  Feb 11, 2025 143   @ Murray St. L 53-63 34%     12 - 11 7 - 8 -6.3 -8.4 +0.5
  Feb 16, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 63-58 71%     13 - 11 8 - 8 -1.5 -11.0 +9.5
  Feb 19, 2025 68   @ Drake L 57-74 14%     13 - 12 8 - 9 -6.0 +1.2 -10.5
  Feb 22, 2025 244   Evansville W 82-77 74%     14 - 12 9 - 9 -2.3 +4.6 -7.1
  Feb 26, 2025 105   @ Northern Iowa L 52-74 24%     14 - 13 9 - 10 -15.2 -10.0 -8.2
  Mar 02, 2025 206   Valparaiso W 77-73 67%     15 - 13 10 - 10 -1.3 -5.6 +4.0
  Mar 06, 2025 206   Valparaiso L 50-67 57%     15 - 14 -19.6 -21.1 +0.3
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%