Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan
Big Ten
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.5#24
Expected Predictive Rating+17.8#10
Pace72.3#66
Improvement-3.6#315

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#47
First Shot+5.2#54
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#106
Layup/Dunks+7.2#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows-0.1#182
Improvement-4.2#340

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#14
First Shot+8.5#11
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#136
Layups/Dunks+5.7#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#114
Freethrows+2.5#36
Improvement+0.6#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 4.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 95.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round85.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen44.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.6% n/a n/a
Final Four4.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 45 - 4
Quad 1b7 - 312 - 7
Quad 24 - 216 - 9
Quad 37 - 023 - 9
Quad 42 - 025 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 168   Cleveland St. W 101-53 95%     1 - 0 +44.7 +22.0 +19.6
  Nov 10, 2024 63   Wake Forest L 70-72 73%     1 - 1 +7.1 +5.7 +1.3
  Nov 15, 2024 74   TCU W 76-64 84%     2 - 1 +16.8 +6.1 +10.2
  Nov 18, 2024 153   Miami (OH) W 94-67 94%     3 - 1 +24.7 +15.9 +7.7
  Nov 21, 2024 273   Tarleton St. W 72-49 98%     4 - 1 +14.0 +6.2 +9.6
  Nov 25, 2024 136   Virginia Tech W 75-63 90%     5 - 1 +13.5 +3.2 +10.3
  Nov 27, 2024 39   Xavier W 78-53 60%     6 - 1 +37.9 +10.4 +27.1
  Dec 03, 2024 14   @ Wisconsin W 67-64 31%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +23.6 +5.6 +18.2
  Dec 07, 2024 61   Iowa W 85-83 80%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +8.7 +5.8 +2.7
  Dec 10, 2024 38   Arkansas L 87-89 59%     8 - 2 +11.1 +14.0 -2.8
  Dec 18, 2024 37   Oklahoma L 86-87 58%     8 - 3 +12.3 +17.9 -5.6
  Dec 22, 2024 163   Purdue Fort Wayne W 89-58 95%     9 - 3 +28.0 +13.8 +14.3
  Dec 29, 2024 160   Western Kentucky W 112-64 94%     10 - 3 +45.3 +21.6 +15.8
  Jan 04, 2025 60   @ USC W 85-74 62%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +23.4 +13.8 +9.3
  Jan 07, 2025 25   @ UCLA W 94-75 41%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +36.9 +27.8 +8.6
  Jan 12, 2025 107   Washington W 91-75 90%     13 - 3 5 - 0 +17.2 +15.0 +1.6
  Jan 16, 2025 85   @ Minnesota L 81-84 OT 73%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +6.2 +13.7 -7.4
  Jan 19, 2025 49   Northwestern W 80-76 OT 75%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +12.4 +5.4 +6.6
  Jan 24, 2025 17   @ Purdue L 64-91 36%     14 - 5 6 - 2 -7.8 -4.5 -2.7
  Jan 27, 2025 58   Penn St. W 76-72 79%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +11.2 +7.3 +3.9
  Feb 01, 2025 66   @ Rutgers W 66-63 67%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +14.0 -2.2 +16.3
  Feb 05, 2025 34   Oregon W 80-76 66%     17 - 5 9 - 2 +15.1 +8.1 +6.8
  Feb 08, 2025 46   @ Indiana W 70-67 55%     18 - 5 10 - 2 +17.2 +8.6 +8.7
  Feb 11, 2025 17   Purdue W 75-73 57%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +15.7 +6.6 +9.1
  Feb 16, 2025 40   @ Ohio St. W 86-83 49%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +18.6 +19.9 -1.3
  Feb 21, 2025 7   Michigan St. L 62-75 45%     20 - 6 12 - 3 +3.9 +3.4 -0.4
  Feb 24, 2025 57   @ Nebraska W 49-46 60%     21 - 6 13 - 3 +15.8 -16.1 +32.0
  Feb 27, 2025 66   Rutgers W 84-82 82%     22 - 6 14 - 3 +7.5 +7.2 +0.2
  Mar 02, 2025 20   Illinois L 73-93 57%     22 - 7 14 - 4 -6.4 +5.1 -11.7
  Mar 05, 2025 12   Maryland L 65-71 47%     22 - 8 14 - 5 +10.2 +1.0 +9.3
  Mar 09, 2025 7   @ Michigan St. L 62-79 25%     22 - 9 14 - 6 +5.4 +1.3 +4.3
  Mar 14, 2025 17   Purdue W 86-68 46%     23 - 9 +34.5 +22.7 +12.9
  Mar 15, 2025 12   Maryland W 81-80 37%     24 - 9 +20.0 +15.0 +4.9
  Mar 16, 2025 14   Wisconsin W 59-53 41%     25 - 9 +23.9 -4.0 +28.1
Projected Record 25 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.4 0.1 4.7 54.1 36.4 4.7 0.1
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.4 0.1 4.7 54.1 36.4 4.7 0.1