Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#188
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#216
Pace70.1#118
Improvement+0.2#180

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#242
First Shot-0.4#183
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#311
Layup/Dunks+0.3#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#221
Freethrows+1.7#83
Improvement-2.4#294

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#144
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#199
Layups/Dunks-1.0#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#217
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#42
Freethrows-1.4#283
Improvement+2.7#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 31 - 92 - 17
Quad 410 - 212 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   Florida L 83-98 1%     0 - 1 +10.2 +12.6 -1.0
  Nov 08, 2024 147   @ College of Charleston L 71-86 31%     0 - 2 -11.5 -9.1 -0.4
  Nov 12, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-69 96%     1 - 2 -5.4 +0.5 -6.0
  Nov 15, 2024 348   West Georgia W 74-55 90%     2 - 2 +3.6 -0.7 +5.6
  Nov 21, 2024 272   Portland W 74-68 67%     3 - 2 -0.3 -5.6 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2024 118   Middle Tennessee L 88-95 32%     3 - 3 -4.0 +16.3 -20.3
  Nov 24, 2024 229   Wright St. W 73-72 58%     4 - 3 -2.7 -4.1 +1.4
  Dec 03, 2024 350   Stetson W 74-72 90%     5 - 3 -13.9 -9.3 -4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 72-74 21%     5 - 4 +4.8 +3.7 +1.2
  Dec 14, 2024 53   @ Utah St. L 67-88 9%     5 - 5 -7.6 -4.8 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2024 299   Bethune-Cookman L 69-77 80%     5 - 6 -18.7 -3.8 -15.1
  Dec 21, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 88-62 87%     6 - 6 +12.0 +8.1 +3.4
  Dec 31, 2024 166   East Carolina W 75-69 56%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +2.8 -2.8 +5.4
  Jan 06, 2025 125   @ Wichita St. W 91-72 26%     8 - 6 2 - 0 +24.0 +20.4 +3.3
  Jan 11, 2025 133   @ Tulane L 70-73 27%     8 - 7 2 - 1 +1.6 +7.0 -5.8
  Jan 15, 2025 100   UAB L 83-92 37%     8 - 8 2 - 2 -7.4 +9.1 -16.8
  Jan 18, 2025 250   Tulsa W 63-56 71%     9 - 8 3 - 2 -0.4 -11.0 +10.8
  Jan 22, 2025 237   @ Charlotte L 61-69 49%     9 - 9 3 - 3 -9.5 -10.6 +0.7
  Jan 25, 2025 166   @ East Carolina L 55-64 35%     9 - 10 3 - 4 -6.7 -11.1 +3.4
  Jan 28, 2025 192   Rice W 69-64 61%     10 - 10 4 - 4 +0.4 -5.9 +6.4
  Feb 02, 2025 114   @ Florida Atlantic L 72-94 23%     10 - 11 4 - 5 -15.9 -1.8 -13.6
  Feb 06, 2025 162   Temple W 100-91 2OT 55%     11 - 11 5 - 5 +6.0 +5.1 -0.7
  Feb 09, 2025 125   Wichita St. L 70-75 45%     11 - 12 5 - 6 -5.5 -1.8 -3.7
  Feb 13, 2025 54   Memphis L 65-80 18%     11 - 13 5 - 7 -7.1 -9.1 +3.4
  Feb 16, 2025 100   @ UAB L 78-85 20%     11 - 14 5 - 8 +0.1 +3.5 -3.3
  Feb 19, 2025 185   @ Texas San Antonio W 78-73 39%     12 - 14 6 - 8 +6.2 -1.0 +6.8
  Feb 23, 2025 81   North Texas L 57-64 29%     12 - 15 6 - 9 -2.8 -5.5 +1.9
  Feb 26, 2025 162   @ Temple L 71-73 34%     12 - 16 6 - 10 +0.5 +5.5 -5.2
  Mar 02, 2025 114   Florida Atlantic L 63-69 41%     12 - 17 6 - 11 -5.4 -11.8 +6.3
  Mar 07, 2025 54   @ Memphis L 68-84 9%     12 - 18 6 - 12 -2.6 +2.4 -4.9
  Mar 13, 2025 125   Wichita St. L 68-73 35%     12 - 19 -2.7 -3.1 +0.4
Projected Record 12 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%