IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.0	#245
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.0	#21
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#257

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	6.0%	2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	14.1	14.7

.500 or above	30.7%	50.3%	23.2%
.500 or above in Conference	42.9%	57.1%	37.5%
Conference Champion	3.7%	6.6%	2.6%
Last Place in Conference	9.7%	4.8%	11.5%

First Four	0.4%	0.3%	0.4%
First Round	3.5%	5.9%	2.6%
Second Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 8	4 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 6	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	178	@ South Dakota St.	L	74-80	28%
Nov 13, 2024	82	@ San Francisco	L	68-82	9%
Nov 16, 2024	271	Portland	W	80-76	65%
Nov 20, 2024	6	@ Gonzaga	L	69-93	2%
Nov 23, 2024	250	Fresno St.	W	74-71	61%
Nov 25, 2024	188	UNC Greensboro	L	71-74	39%
Nov 26, 2024	152	UTEP	L	74-79	35%
Nov 27, 2024	160	San Jose St.	L	72-76	36%
Dec 05, 2024	244	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	71-74	40%
Dec 07, 2024	192	Hawaii	W	73-72	52%
Dec 10, 2024	282	@ San Diego	L	79-80	46%
Dec 19, 2024	217	@ Pepperdine	L	74-78	36%
Jan 02, 2025	183	UC Riverside	L	75-76	49%
Jan 04, 2025	278	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	70-71	45%
Jan 11, 2025	191	@ UC Davis	L	70-76	31%
Jan 16, 2025	162	UC San Diego	L	74-75	46%
Jan 18, 2025	244	Cal St. Fullerton	W	74-71	60%
Jan 23, 2025	239	@ Cal St. Northridge	L	79-82	39%
Jan 25, 2025	345	@ Cal Poly	W	74-69	65%
Jan 30, 2025	103	UC Irvine	L	73-79	31%
Feb 01, 2025	167	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	73-80	28%
Feb 06, 2025	191	UC Davis	W	74-73	51%
Feb 08, 2025	239	Cal St. Northridge	W	82-79	59%
Feb 14, 2025	192	@ Hawaii	L	70-76	32%
Feb 20, 2025	183	@ UC Riverside	L	72-78	30%
Feb 22, 2025	167	UC Santa Barbara	L	76-77	47%
Feb 27, 2025	278	Cal St. Bakersfield	W	73-68	65%
Mar 01, 2025	103	@ UC Irvine	L	70-82	16%
Mar 06, 2025	162	@ UC San Diego	L	71-78	28%
Mar 08, 2025	345	Cal Poly	W	77-66	81%
Projected Record						12 - 18	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.4	0.9	1.0	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0		3.7	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	1.3	2.1	1.6	0.7	0.2	0.0				6.2	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.6	2.0	3.0	1.7	0.4	0.0						7.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.0	0.8	2.8	3.5	1.5	0.3	0.0							8.9	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	3.5	3.7	1.5	0.2	0.0								9.9	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	3.8	4.2	1.5	0.1	0.0									10.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.4	4.1	4.3	1.4	0.2	0.0										11.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	1.8	4.3	4.0	1.4	0.1	0.0											11.9	8th
9th				0.1	0.7	2.5	4.2	3.5	1.1	0.1	0.0												12.1	9th
10th		0.0	0.3	1.5	3.0	3.4	2.1	0.5	0.1														10.9	10th
11th	0.2	0.8	1.3	1.7	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0															6.0	11th

Total	0.2	0.8	1.6	3.2	5.0	6.9	8.4	9.8	10.5	10.7	10.1	8.7	7.5	6.1	4.4	2.8	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	94.8%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	82.3%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
16-4	58.6%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
15-5	30.7%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	9.4%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.7%	3.7		2.2	1.2	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		18.0%	9.8%	8.2%	10.7									0.0					0.0				0.0		9.1%
19-1	0.1%		48.5%	48.5%		12.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
18-2	0.4%		40.9%	40.9%		12.8												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2
17-3	1.0%		38.7%	38.7%		13.3												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.6
16-4	1.8%		28.7%	28.7%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.3
15-5	2.8%		20.8%	20.8%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	2.3
14-6	4.4%		14.3%	14.3%		14.6														0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	3.8
13-7	6.1%		7.9%	7.9%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	5.6
12-8	7.5%		4.1%	4.1%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	7.1
11-9	8.7%		2.9%	2.9%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	8.5
10-10	10.1%		1.5%	1.5%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.0
9-11	10.7%		0.9%	0.9%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.6
8-12	10.5%		0.4%	0.4%		15.9																0.0	0.0	10.5
7-13	9.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.7
6-14	8.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
5-15	6.9%																							6.9
4-16	5.0%																							5.0
3-17	3.2%																							3.2
2-18	1.6%																							1.6
1-19	0.8%																							0.8
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	14.4									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	1.1	0.7	96.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%